Race 5A

south-1

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Victor Diaz De Leon 23.5% 19.8% 17.3% 14.4% 10.3% 6.3% 5.1% 1.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Popp 13.5% 15.1% 14.1% 13.2% 12.6% 11.1% 9.5% 6.4% 3.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Gordon Wolcott 17.4% 14.3% 14.3% 14.4% 11.3% 11.0% 9.1% 4.4% 2.5% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ben Buhl 4.4% 5.5% 6.1% 8.7% 10.4% 9.9% 11.6% 15.2% 10.4% 11.3% 5.7% 0.8% 0.0%
Daniel Eichler 12.8% 13.9% 13.5% 12.8% 11.4% 11.8% 8.5% 7.2% 4.9% 2.1% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Gordon Wolcott 17.4% 14.3% 14.3% 14.4% 11.3% 11.0% 9.1% 4.4% 2.5% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ian Connors 5.2% 5.5% 6.5% 6.4% 8.0% 9.9% 13.2% 13.9% 13.7% 10.3% 6.8% 0.6% 0.0%
Giuditta Di Laghi 4.0% 4.5% 4.7% 5.9% 8.0% 8.9% 10.0% 10.3% 16.7% 13.8% 11.1% 2.1% 0.0%
Alex Reynolds 4.7% 3.4% 4.7% 5.7% 7.0% 8.5% 8.7% 12.6% 15.3% 16.6% 10.5% 2.3% 0.0%
Evan Hoffmann 10.3% 13.5% 12.4% 12.8% 12.9% 12.6% 9.4% 9.3% 4.2% 2.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Bill Parker 1.9% 2.5% 3.1% 2.5% 3.6% 4.0% 7.1% 8.1% 11.8% 19.3% 29.8% 6.3% 0.0%
Jaclyn Hollander 2.0% 1.8% 2.8% 2.9% 4.0% 5.4% 6.8% 9.3% 14.6% 18.0% 25.9% 6.5% 0.0%
Jackson Dunitz 0.3% 0.2% 0.5% 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 1.0% 1.6% 1.5% 3.6% 8.7% 81.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.