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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+6.81vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.18+9.78vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.43+6.65vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.38+5.98vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.55+5.26vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.39+3.47vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.20-0.81vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.42+1.49vs Predicted
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9Tulane University2.06-1.85vs Predicted
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10Yale University1.70-1.00vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.71-2.16vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.18-1.11vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.25-2.91vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-4.18vs Predicted
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15Princeton University0.46-1.37vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.40-10.34vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University0.48-3.25vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida0.90-6.93vs Predicted
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19Washington College-1.01-3.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.937.3%1st Place
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11.78Dartmouth College1.183.1%1st Place
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9.65Tufts University1.434.9%1st Place
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9.98University of Rhode Island1.385.1%1st Place
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10.26Harvard University1.554.2%1st Place
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9.47Boston University1.395.1%1st Place
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6.19Boston College2.2011.3%1st Place
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9.49Fordham University1.424.9%1st Place
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7.15Tulane University2.068.8%1st Place
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9.0Yale University1.705.2%1st Place
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8.84Northeastern University1.715.9%1st Place
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10.89Bowdoin College1.183.2%1st Place
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10.09Brown University1.254.4%1st Place
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9.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.734.3%1st Place
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13.63Princeton University0.461.9%1st Place
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5.66Roger Williams University2.4013.4%1st Place
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13.75Christopher Newport University0.481.7%1st Place
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11.07University of South Florida0.904.0%1st Place
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15.46Washington College-1.011.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maks Groom | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.2% |
| Jack Flores | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Jonathan Riley | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Eric Hansen | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% |
| Noah Robitshek | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Michael Kirkman | 11.3% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Beckett Kumler | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Zander King | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Alex Adams | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Will Priebe | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 3.6% |
| William George | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 2.4% |
| Luke Zylinski | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Ossian Kamal | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 14.0% | 17.4% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 13.4% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Grace | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 14.2% | 17.3% |
| Andreas Keswater | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 4.5% |
| Jonathan Kelly | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 14.7% | 35.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.