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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.40+4.71vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.70+6.96vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.42+6.28vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.18+7.89vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.39+4.38vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+1.86vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+2.53vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.43+1.67vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.710.00vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.20-3.97vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.25-1.00vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.38-1.86vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.18-2.13vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.06-7.04vs Predicted
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15Washington College-1.01+0.40vs Predicted
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16Harvard University1.55-5.73vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University0.48-3.13vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida0.90-6.55vs Predicted
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19Princeton University0.46-5.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.71Roger Williams University2.4012.8%1st Place
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8.96Yale University1.705.2%1st Place
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9.28Fordham University1.425.3%1st Place
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11.89Dartmouth College1.182.9%1st Place
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9.38Boston University1.395.3%1st Place
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7.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.937.0%1st Place
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9.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.735.8%1st Place
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9.67Tufts University1.435.5%1st Place
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9.0Northeastern University1.716.1%1st Place
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6.03Boston College2.2011.1%1st Place
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10.0Brown University1.254.0%1st Place
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10.14University of Rhode Island1.383.8%1st Place
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10.87Bowdoin College1.183.6%1st Place
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6.96Tulane University2.068.9%1st Place
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15.4Washington College-1.011.0%1st Place
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10.27Harvard University1.554.6%1st Place
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13.87Christopher Newport University0.481.8%1st Place
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11.45University of South Florida0.902.8%1st Place
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13.72Princeton University0.462.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Pfrang | 12.8% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Alex Adams | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Beckett Kumler | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% |
| Noah Robitshek | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% |
| Maks Groom | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Luke Zylinski | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% |
| Jack Flores | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Will Priebe | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Michael Kirkman | 11.1% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| William George | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Jonathan Riley | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 4.1% |
| Zander King | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Kelly | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 15.3% | 34.4% |
| Eric Hansen | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 1.9% |
| David Grace | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 14.6% | 16.8% |
| Andreas Keswater | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 4.5% |
| Ossian Kamal | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 17.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.