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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+2.23vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.17+2.85vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.44+1.26vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia3.54+0.07vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.33-0.48vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.38+0.74vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia3.54-2.93vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.04-0.54vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.55-0.48vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University2.46-3.57vs Predicted
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11William and Mary1.37-2.14vs Predicted
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13Hampton University2.11-5.44vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland-0.60-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.23St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.2%1st Place
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4.85Old Dominion University3.170.1%1st Place
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4.26U. S. Naval Academy3.440.2%1st Place
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4.07University of Virginia3.540.2%1st Place
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4.52Georgetown University3.330.1%1st Place
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6.74George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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4.07University of Virginia3.540.2%1st Place
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7.46Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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8.52Old Dominion University1.550.0%1st Place
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6.43Christopher Newport University2.460.0%1st Place
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8.86William and Mary1.370.0%1st Place
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7.56Hampton University2.110.0%1st Place
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11.51University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 24.2% | 20.0% | 17.3% | 14.3% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evan Hoffmann | 9.9% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Popp | 15.7% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 16.1% | 16.4% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Eichler | 13.4% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Connors | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 14.9% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 16.1% | 16.4% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Reynolds | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 11.8% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Jaclyn Hollander | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 19.1% | 23.4% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Ben Buhl | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Bill Parker | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 13.4% | 18.0% | 30.1% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 15.3% | 15.7% | 11.8% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 8.7% | 81.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.