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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia3.54+3.07vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University2.46+4.56vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.33+1.47vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.17+0.85vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia3.54-0.93vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-2.78vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.04+0.54vs Predicted
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8William and Mary1.37+0.82vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.38-2.35vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.55-2.43vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.44-7.77vs Predicted
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13Hampton University2.11-5.50vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland-0.60-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.07University of Virginia3.540.2%1st Place
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6.56Christopher Newport University2.460.0%1st Place
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4.47Georgetown University3.330.1%1st Place
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4.85Old Dominion University3.170.1%1st Place
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4.07University of Virginia3.540.2%1st Place
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3.22St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.2%1st Place
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7.54Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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8.82William and Mary1.370.0%1st Place
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6.65George Washington University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.57Old Dominion University1.550.0%1st Place
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4.23U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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7.5Hampton University2.110.0%1st Place
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11.52University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gordon Wolcott | 15.4% | 15.9% | 13.4% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Buhl | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 5.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Eichler | 13.2% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evan Hoffmann | 9.9% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 15.4% | 15.9% | 13.4% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 24.6% | 22.0% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Reynolds | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Bill Parker | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 18.0% | 28.0% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Ian Connors | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 14.9% | 11.5% | 6.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Jaclyn Hollander | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 19.5% | 24.4% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Michael Popp | 14.5% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 16.0% | 11.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 7.5% | 82.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.