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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.40+4.52vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.70+6.98vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.39+6.42vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.25+6.17vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.20+1.07vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.55+4.34vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.18+4.94vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.06-0.97vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.42+0.27vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.71-1.01vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-1.27vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.43-2.24vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University0.48+0.64vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-6.07vs Predicted
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15Washington College-1.01+0.33vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.38-5.96vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College1.18-6.14vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida0.90-6.92vs Predicted
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19Princeton University0.46-5.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.52Roger Williams University2.4014.1%1st Place
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8.98Yale University1.705.7%1st Place
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9.42Boston University1.394.7%1st Place
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10.17Brown University1.254.0%1st Place
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6.07Boston College2.2012.1%1st Place
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10.34Harvard University1.553.6%1st Place
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11.94Dartmouth College1.183.0%1st Place
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7.03Tulane University2.068.8%1st Place
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9.27Fordham University1.425.2%1st Place
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8.99Northeastern University1.715.0%1st Place
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9.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.735.0%1st Place
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9.76Tufts University1.435.1%1st Place
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13.64Christopher Newport University0.482.1%1st Place
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7.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.936.8%1st Place
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15.33Washington College-1.011.2%1st Place
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10.04University of Rhode Island1.384.3%1st Place
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10.86Bowdoin College1.183.9%1st Place
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11.08University of South Florida0.904.0%1st Place
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13.9Princeton University0.461.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Pfrang | 14.1% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Adams | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| William George | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Michael Kirkman | 12.1% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Eric Hansen | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.9% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 6.8% |
| Zander King | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Beckett Kumler | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Will Priebe | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Luke Zylinski | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Jack Flores | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| David Grace | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 17.2% |
| Maks Groom | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Jonathan Kelly | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 15.3% | 35.4% |
| Jonathan Riley | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 3.4% |
| Andreas Keswater | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.5% |
| Ossian Kamal | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 16.0% | 17.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.