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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.18+9.71vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.20+4.28vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+4.71vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.40+1.59vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+4.66vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.71+3.02vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.25+3.26vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.39+1.45vs Predicted
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9Harvard University1.55+1.35vs Predicted
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10Yale University1.70-1.11vs Predicted
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11Washington College-1.01+4.49vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.38-1.71vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.06-5.93vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.48-0.50vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.42-5.78vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.43-6.28vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College1.18-5.09vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida0.90-6.95vs Predicted
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19Princeton University0.46-5.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.71Bowdoin College1.183.0%1st Place
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6.28Boston College2.2011.8%1st Place
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7.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.938.9%1st Place
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5.59Roger Williams University2.4013.7%1st Place
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9.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.734.6%1st Place
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9.02Northeastern University1.715.1%1st Place
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10.26Brown University1.253.8%1st Place
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9.45Boston University1.395.5%1st Place
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10.35Harvard University1.554.0%1st Place
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8.89Yale University1.705.6%1st Place
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15.49Washington College-1.010.8%1st Place
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10.29University of Rhode Island1.384.2%1st Place
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7.07Tulane University2.068.6%1st Place
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13.5Christopher Newport University0.481.6%1st Place
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9.22Fordham University1.425.2%1st Place
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9.72Tufts University1.435.4%1st Place
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11.91Dartmouth College1.182.6%1st Place
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11.05University of South Florida0.903.4%1st Place
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13.82Princeton University0.462.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Danielson | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.5% |
| Michael Kirkman | 11.8% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Maks Groom | 8.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 13.7% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Zylinski | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% |
| Will Priebe | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| William George | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| Noah Robitshek | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Eric Hansen | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% |
| Alex Adams | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Jonathan Kelly | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 15.1% | 35.6% |
| Jonathan Riley | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Zander King | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| David Grace | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 15.6% |
| Beckett Kumler | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Jack Flores | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% |
| Andreas Keswater | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 3.8% |
| Ossian Kamal | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 17.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.