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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia3.54+3.10vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.17+2.91vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.44+1.26vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University2.46+2.58vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia3.54-0.90vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.33-1.45vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.38-0.27vs Predicted
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8Hampton University2.11-0.69vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.04-1.60vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-6.92vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.55-2.49vs Predicted
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12William and Mary1.37-2.92vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland-0.60-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.1University of Virginia3.540.2%1st Place
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4.91Old Dominion University3.170.1%1st Place
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4.26U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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6.58Christopher Newport University2.460.0%1st Place
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4.1University of Virginia3.540.2%1st Place
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4.55Georgetown University3.330.1%1st Place
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6.73George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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7.31Hampton University2.110.0%1st Place
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7.4Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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3.08St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.3%1st Place
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8.51Old Dominion University1.550.0%1st Place
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9.08William and Mary1.370.0%1st Place
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11.49University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gordon Wolcott | 15.2% | 16.1% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evan Hoffmann | 9.5% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Popp | 14.5% | 13.7% | 15.7% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Buhl | 4.9% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 5.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 15.2% | 16.1% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Eichler | 12.4% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Connors | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 17.0% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Reynolds | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 15.3% | 15.9% | 10.6% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 25.9% | 22.7% | 15.0% | 13.6% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jaclyn Hollander | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 19.6% | 24.5% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Bill Parker | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 17.5% | 31.4% | 8.6% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.9% | 8.3% | 81.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.