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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.61+2.46vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.51+1.61vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.78+2.46vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+1.43vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.76+0.34vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.80+1.53vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.50-1.22vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin2.61-0.27vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College3.83-3.75vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.50-4.20vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University0.29-0.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.46College of Charleston4.610.2%1st Place
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3.61Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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5.46College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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5.43St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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5.34Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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7.53University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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5.78Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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7.73University of Wisconsin2.610.0%1st Place
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5.25Eckerd College3.830.1%1st Place
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5.8U. S. Naval Academy3.500.1%1st Place
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10.61Northwestern University0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allison Blecher | 19.7% | 19.5% | 17.3% | 15.0% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Bolger | 20.7% | 18.7% | 14.6% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Heausler | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 4.9% | 0.3% |
| Megan Magill | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 5.1% | 0.5% |
| Stephanie Roble | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 0.4% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 17.0% | 26.1% | 5.3% |
| Claire Dennis | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 1.2% |
| Christine Porter | 4.0% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 16.8% | 29.2% | 6.0% |
| Cara Vavolotis | 8.6% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 0.8% |
| Christina Pryne | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Hughes | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 7.3% | 84.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.