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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.09+5.47vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.22+5.83vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.02+2.87vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.83+3.31vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62+2.97vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.42+2.36vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+2.13vs Predicted
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8Yale University1.59-0.05vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College1.08+1.17vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.03-2.20vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.48-5.92vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.05-2.24vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.89-2.97vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.07-3.85vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.40-2.78vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University-0.43-1.14vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University0.46-4.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.47Roger Williams University2.098.9%1st Place
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7.83Brown University2.225.8%1st Place
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5.87Boston College2.0212.7%1st Place
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7.31Tufts University1.837.8%1st Place
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7.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.625.5%1st Place
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8.36University of Rhode Island1.426.3%1st Place
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9.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.734.8%1st Place
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7.95Yale University1.596.7%1st Place
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10.17Dartmouth College1.083.8%1st Place
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7.8Bowdoin College2.036.7%1st Place
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5.08Harvard University2.4815.3%1st Place
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9.76University of Vermont1.053.9%1st Place
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10.03Connecticut College0.893.6%1st Place
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10.15Northeastern University1.074.0%1st Place
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12.22Boston University0.401.8%1st Place
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14.86Fairfield University-0.430.8%1st Place
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12.05Salve Regina University0.461.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Stokke | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Mason Stang | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Jack Redmond | 12.7% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| William Kulas | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Tyler Nash | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Luke Zylinski | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Mathias Reimer | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Ben Sheppard | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 3.8% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 15.3% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 3.4% |
| Henry Scholz | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 3.9% |
| Joshua Dillon | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 4.1% |
| Peter Stewart | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 17.1% | 13.2% |
| Jane Matthews | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 14.1% | 52.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 17.6% | 11.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.