Race 12B

america

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Martin Sterling 14.0% 15.8% 14.1% 14.0% 9.6% 8.5% 7.8% 5.9% 4.9% 2.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Ted Green 3.4% 6.1% 6.1% 6.8% 7.2% 6.8% 9.0% 8.2% 9.7% 8.9% 9.2% 9.3% 5.3% 2.5% 1.3% 0.2%
Daniel Liberty 7.0% 6.8% 8.8% 8.4% 9.6% 8.9% 10.0% 11.8% 8.4% 7.8% 5.7% 3.1% 2.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Jesse Kirkland 15.1% 15.4% 14.0% 13.8% 10.6% 9.8% 7.6% 5.5% 4.7% 1.3% 1.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Evan Aras 22.8% 20.0% 17.2% 11.8% 9.4% 7.9% 5.0% 2.8% 1.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Russom 3.0% 2.6% 3.7% 5.0% 6.2% 6.3% 7.3% 7.3% 9.6% 9.8% 11.8% 8.8% 8.1% 7.2% 3.0% 0.3%
Alan Alkins 8.7% 9.2% 8.2% 9.1% 10.6% 10.2% 9.4% 8.5% 8.8% 6.7% 5.3% 3.4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Meredith Carroll 1.6% 2.5% 2.8% 2.6% 4.1% 4.9% 4.3% 7.1% 7.1% 7.3% 11.3% 11.8% 14.6% 11.1% 6.1% 0.8%
David Coplon 2.1% 2.2% 2.2% 3.2% 3.3% 3.2% 4.4% 5.6% 6.9% 8.8% 10.6% 11.6% 15.0% 13.0% 6.2% 1.7%
Philip Alley 6.3% 5.8% 5.3% 6.7% 8.9% 8.7% 9.9% 10.9% 9.7% 10.6% 6.9% 5.1% 3.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Michael Whitford 10.7% 7.2% 10.3% 9.4% 9.2% 10.4% 10.9% 8.8% 7.0% 6.2% 5.1% 2.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Joseph Turchiano 2.2% 2.7% 3.3% 3.9% 5.2% 7.0% 6.2% 7.8% 7.0% 9.4% 10.1% 11.1% 10.9% 8.6% 4.2% 0.4%
Andrew Shoemaker 1.3% 1.2% 1.5% 1.4% 2.7% 3.5% 4.1% 4.2% 5.2% 7.4% 10.0% 11.5% 13.6% 16.6% 12.9% 2.9%
Madeline Gill 1.3% 1.6% 1.8% 2.4% 2.5% 2.7% 3.0% 4.2% 6.2% 8.4% 6.6% 12.8% 13.3% 19.3% 10.4% 3.5%
Eleanor Elbert 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 1.2% 1.3% 1.6% 3.0% 4.6% 5.8% 24.0% 54.6%
Morgan Beals 0.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.9% 0.6% 0.8% 0.4% 0.8% 1.9% 2.1% 3.0% 4.0% 5.8% 12.3% 31.1% 35.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.