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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.71+8.14vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+5.93vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.20+3.19vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.55+6.49vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.06+2.14vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.39+3.35vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida0.90+4.32vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+1.56vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College1.18+2.79vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.40-4.48vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.38-0.81vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.25-2.05vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.42-3.77vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.43-4.35vs Predicted
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15Princeton University0.46-1.40vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College1.18-5.15vs Predicted
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17Yale University1.70-7.98vs Predicted
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18Washington College-1.01-2.53vs Predicted
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19Christopher Newport University0.48-5.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.14Northeastern University1.716.1%1st Place
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7.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.937.1%1st Place
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6.19Boston College2.2011.5%1st Place
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10.49Harvard University1.553.8%1st Place
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7.14Tulane University2.068.6%1st Place
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9.35Boston University1.394.8%1st Place
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11.32University of South Florida0.903.2%1st Place
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9.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.735.0%1st Place
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11.79Dartmouth College1.182.9%1st Place
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5.52Roger Williams University2.4013.0%1st Place
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10.19University of Rhode Island1.384.5%1st Place
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9.95Brown University1.255.2%1st Place
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9.23Fordham University1.425.1%1st Place
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9.65Tufts University1.435.2%1st Place
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13.6Princeton University0.461.6%1st Place
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10.85Bowdoin College1.183.9%1st Place
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9.02Yale University1.705.7%1st Place
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15.47Washington College-1.011.2%1st Place
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13.61Christopher Newport University0.481.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Priebe | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Maks Groom | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Michael Kirkman | 11.5% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Eric Hansen | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.0% |
| Zander King | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Andreas Keswater | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.1% |
| Luke Zylinski | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 13.0% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Riley | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| William George | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% |
| Beckett Kumler | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Jack Flores | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Ossian Kamal | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 14.2% | 17.8% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 3.5% |
| Alex Adams | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Jonathan Kelly | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 15.8% | 34.7% |
| David Grace | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 14.3% | 16.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.