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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.17+3.98vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.33+2.50vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+0.21vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia3.54+0.02vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.38+1.81vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.44-1.75vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University2.46-0.59vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia3.54-3.98vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.04-1.56vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.55-1.40vs Predicted
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11Hampton University2.11-3.72vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland-0.60-1.53vs Predicted
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14William and Mary1.37-4.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.98Old Dominion University3.170.1%1st Place
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4.5Georgetown University3.330.1%1st Place
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3.21St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.3%1st Place
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4.02University of Virginia3.540.1%1st Place
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6.81George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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4.25U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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6.41Christopher Newport University2.460.1%1st Place
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4.02University of Virginia3.540.1%1st Place
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7.44Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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8.6Old Dominion University1.550.0%1st Place
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7.28Hampton University2.110.0%1st Place
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11.47University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
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9.02William and Mary1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Hoffmann | 10.3% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Eichler | 11.7% | 15.5% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 25.8% | 17.9% | 17.5% | 14.2% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 14.5% | 18.1% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Connors | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Michael Popp | 14.8% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Buhl | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 4.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 14.5% | 18.1% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Reynolds | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 14.6% | 16.4% | 12.6% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Jaclyn Hollander | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 18.5% | 23.8% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 15.1% | 15.3% | 9.2% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 8.9% | 81.4% | 0.0% |
| Bill Parker | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 17.7% | 30.1% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.