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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.25+9.18vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.55+8.40vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.43+6.78vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+3.82vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+4.66vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.48+7.83vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.20-0.93vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.38+2.08vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.71-0.11vs Predicted
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10Princeton University0.46+3.51vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.40-5.43vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.06-4.85vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College1.18-1.17vs Predicted
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14Yale University1.70-5.06vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida0.90-3.78vs Predicted
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16Washington College-1.01-0.56vs Predicted
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17Boston University1.39-7.52vs Predicted
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18Fordham University1.42-8.55vs Predicted
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19Bowdoin College1.18-8.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.18Brown University1.254.3%1st Place
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10.4Harvard University1.554.5%1st Place
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9.78Tufts University1.434.8%1st Place
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7.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.937.8%1st Place
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9.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.734.5%1st Place
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13.83Christopher Newport University0.481.4%1st Place
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6.07Boston College2.2011.8%1st Place
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10.08University of Rhode Island1.385.3%1st Place
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8.89Northeastern University1.716.9%1st Place
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13.51Princeton University0.461.7%1st Place
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5.57Roger Williams University2.4013.7%1st Place
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7.15Tulane University2.066.9%1st Place
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11.83Dartmouth College1.183.0%1st Place
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8.94Yale University1.706.2%1st Place
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11.22University of South Florida0.904.0%1st Place
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15.44Washington College-1.011.1%1st Place
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9.48Boston University1.394.5%1st Place
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9.45Fordham University1.424.5%1st Place
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10.71Bowdoin College1.183.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William George | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.5% |
| Eric Hansen | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 2.8% |
| Jack Flores | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Maks Groom | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Luke Zylinski | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| David Grace | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 14.3% | 17.9% |
| Michael Kirkman | 11.8% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Riley | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% |
| Will Priebe | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Ossian Kamal | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 14.5% | 15.4% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 13.7% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Zander King | 6.9% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 6.8% |
| Alex Adams | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Andreas Keswater | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 4.0% |
| Jonathan Kelly | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 15.0% | 36.4% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Beckett Kumler | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.