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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.33+3.56vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.17+2.86vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+0.19vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia3.54+0.06vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.44-0.74vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia3.54-1.94vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University2.46-0.44vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.38-1.34vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.55-0.49vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.04-2.52vs Predicted
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12Hampton University2.11-4.72vs Predicted
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13William and Mary1.37-3.93vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland-0.60-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.56Georgetown University3.330.1%1st Place
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4.86Old Dominion University3.170.1%1st Place
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3.19St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.3%1st Place
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4.06University of Virginia3.540.1%1st Place
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4.26U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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4.06University of Virginia3.540.1%1st Place
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6.56Christopher Newport University2.460.1%1st Place
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6.66George Washington University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.51Old Dominion University1.550.0%1st Place
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7.48Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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7.28Hampton University2.110.0%1st Place
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9.07William and Mary1.370.0%1st Place
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11.5University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Eichler | 12.6% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 14.7% | 15.5% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evan Hoffmann | 9.2% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 25.9% | 18.8% | 16.7% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 14.6% | 16.9% | 15.9% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Popp | 14.5% | 15.4% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 14.6% | 16.9% | 15.9% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Buhl | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 5.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ian Connors | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 7.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Jaclyn Hollander | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 13.7% | 19.0% | 24.2% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Alex Reynolds | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 15.5% | 14.3% | 11.4% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 10.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Bill Parker | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 13.0% | 17.1% | 31.3% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 8.0% | 81.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.