← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College2.20+5.08vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University2.40+3.43vs Predicted
-
3Boston University1.39+6.18vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University1.43+5.74vs Predicted
-
5Washington College-1.01+10.63vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University1.55+4.42vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+0.91vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University1.71+0.93vs Predicted
-
9Tulane University2.06-1.77vs Predicted
-
10Fordham University1.42-0.46vs Predicted
-
11Princeton University0.46+2.85vs Predicted
-
12Dartmouth College1.18+0.07vs Predicted
-
13Bowdoin College1.18-2.36vs Predicted
-
14Brown University1.25-3.93vs Predicted
-
15University of Rhode Island1.38-5.06vs Predicted
-
16Yale University1.70-7.07vs Predicted
-
17University of South Florida0.90-5.98vs Predicted
-
18U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-8.37vs Predicted
-
19Christopher Newport University0.48-5.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.08Boston College2.2012.0%1st Place
-
5.43Roger Williams University2.4014.1%1st Place
-
9.18Boston University1.394.7%1st Place
-
9.74Tufts University1.434.5%1st Place
-
15.63Washington College-1.010.8%1st Place
-
10.42Harvard University1.553.5%1st Place
-
7.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.936.6%1st Place
-
8.93Northeastern University1.715.7%1st Place
-
7.23Tulane University2.069.2%1st Place
-
9.54Fordham University1.425.1%1st Place
-
13.85Princeton University0.461.7%1st Place
-
12.07Dartmouth College1.182.6%1st Place
-
10.64Bowdoin College1.184.6%1st Place
-
10.07Brown University1.254.6%1st Place
-
9.94University of Rhode Island1.384.8%1st Place
-
8.93Yale University1.705.7%1st Place
-
11.02University of South Florida0.903.4%1st Place
-
9.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.734.5%1st Place
-
13.78Christopher Newport University0.482.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Kirkman | 12.0% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 14.1% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Jack Flores | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Jonathan Kelly | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 15.4% | 36.2% |
| Eric Hansen | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 2.6% |
| Maks Groom | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Will Priebe | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Zander King | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Beckett Kumler | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Ossian Kamal | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 17.9% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 6.0% |
| Ethan Danielson | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.0% |
| William George | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Jonathan Riley | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Alex Adams | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Andreas Keswater | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 3.9% |
| Luke Zylinski | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| David Grace | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 18.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.