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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia3.54+3.12vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.44+2.27vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.33+1.48vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.17+0.84vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia3.54-0.88vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-2.79vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University2.46-0.45vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.04-0.59vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.38-2.38vs Predicted
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10Hampton University2.11-2.70vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland-0.60+0.47vs Predicted
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12William and Mary1.37-2.96vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.55-5.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.12University of Virginia3.540.2%1st Place
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4.27U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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4.48Georgetown University3.330.1%1st Place
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4.84Old Dominion University3.170.1%1st Place
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4.12University of Virginia3.540.2%1st Place
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3.21St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.3%1st Place
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6.55Christopher Newport University2.460.1%1st Place
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7.41Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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6.62George Washington University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.3Hampton University2.110.0%1st Place
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11.47University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
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9.04William and Mary1.370.0%1st Place
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8.66Old Dominion University1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gordon Wolcott | 15.3% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 15.1% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Popp | 13.5% | 15.0% | 14.7% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Eichler | 13.4% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evan Hoffmann | 10.0% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 15.3% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 15.1% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 25.5% | 21.4% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Buhl | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 5.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Alex Reynolds | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 15.0% | 12.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Ian Connors | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 6.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 8.3% | 81.2% | 0.0% |
| Bill Parker | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 20.8% | 28.6% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Jaclyn Hollander | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 14.3% | 18.5% | 25.2% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.