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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Gordon Wolcott 15.3% 14.9% 14.3% 15.1% 12.4% 9.9% 8.5% 5.2% 3.0% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Popp 13.5% 15.0% 14.7% 14.0% 13.6% 8.5% 9.2% 5.8% 3.5% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Daniel Eichler 13.4% 11.8% 14.6% 12.5% 12.2% 12.7% 9.8% 7.4% 3.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Evan Hoffmann 10.0% 11.9% 12.7% 12.4% 14.2% 11.8% 9.4% 8.1% 5.7% 2.7% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Gordon Wolcott 15.3% 14.9% 14.3% 15.1% 12.4% 9.9% 8.5% 5.2% 3.0% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Victor Diaz De Leon 25.5% 21.4% 15.2% 13.5% 9.1% 6.9% 3.7% 2.7% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Ben Buhl 5.1% 6.6% 7.6% 7.3% 7.5% 9.6% 14.0% 12.5% 13.0% 10.6% 5.4% 0.8% 0.0%
Alex Reynolds 3.8% 4.5% 4.6% 6.1% 7.0% 7.7% 9.8% 12.7% 14.7% 15.0% 12.7% 1.4% 0.0%
Ian Connors 6.0% 5.1% 7.5% 7.9% 7.3% 10.9% 11.4% 12.0% 13.1% 11.5% 6.5% 0.8% 0.0%
Giuditta Di Laghi 3.4% 3.6% 4.5% 5.8% 8.7% 10.3% 10.7% 13.3% 13.9% 13.5% 11.1% 1.2% 0.0%
Jackson Dunitz 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.6% 1.2% 2.0% 1.5% 1.8% 2.7% 8.3% 81.2% 0.0%
Bill Parker 1.8% 2.0% 1.3% 3.0% 3.6% 4.6% 5.4% 8.8% 11.7% 20.8% 28.6% 8.4% 0.0%
Jaclyn Hollander 2.0% 3.2% 2.8% 2.1% 3.8% 5.9% 6.1% 10.0% 14.3% 18.5% 25.2% 6.1% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.