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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+6.75vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.55+8.58vs Predicted
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3Princeton University0.46+10.70vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.71+4.82vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.25+5.03vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.20+0.09vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.70+1.98vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.43+1.64vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+0.65vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.380.00vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.42-1.63vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.39-2.64vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.18-2.11vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.06-7.03vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College0.83-2.85vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.40-10.47vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida0.90-5.71vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University0.48-4.26vs Predicted
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19Washington College-1.01-3.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.938.4%1st Place
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10.58Harvard University1.554.2%1st Place
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13.7Princeton University0.462.0%1st Place
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8.82Northeastern University1.715.9%1st Place
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10.03Brown University1.254.0%1st Place
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6.09Boston College2.2011.4%1st Place
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8.98Yale University1.706.0%1st Place
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9.64Tufts University1.434.2%1st Place
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9.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.735.2%1st Place
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10.0University of Rhode Island1.384.7%1st Place
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9.37Fordham University1.425.4%1st Place
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9.36Boston University1.395.1%1st Place
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10.89Bowdoin College1.183.2%1st Place
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6.97Tulane University2.068.8%1st Place
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12.15Dartmouth College0.832.3%1st Place
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5.53Roger Williams University2.4013.0%1st Place
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11.29University of South Florida0.902.8%1st Place
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13.74Christopher Newport University0.482.1%1st Place
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15.46Washington College-1.011.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maks Groom | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Eric Hansen | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% |
| Ossian Kamal | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 11.7% | 15.0% | 16.1% |
| Will Priebe | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| William George | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Michael Kirkman | 11.4% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Adams | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Jack Flores | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% |
| Luke Zylinski | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Jonathan Riley | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Beckett Kumler | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Noah Robitshek | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 3.7% |
| Zander King | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Long | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.2% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 13.0% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Andreas Keswater | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 3.9% |
| David Grace | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 15.7% | 15.2% |
| Jonathan Kelly | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 9.6% | 14.4% | 36.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.