Race 1B

south-1

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Connor Timmins 7.4% 11.1% 15.8% 15.4% 16.6% 14.3% 10.4% 6.2% 2.0% 0.8% 0.0%
Daniel Montgomery 1.8% 2.6% 2.3% 3.7% 6.3% 9.1% 10.5% 16.5% 18.7% 19.3% 9.2%
Daniel LOCHNER 15.7% 16.6% 19.1% 17.6% 12.8% 10.5% 5.4% 1.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Sean Golden 20.8% 21.2% 19.4% 17.4% 10.9% 5.8% 3.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Adam Keally 8.5% 10.5% 11.0% 14.2% 15.8% 14.1% 13.6% 7.2% 3.8% 1.0% 0.3%
Alexander Curtiss 34.5% 24.8% 18.9% 11.1% 5.8% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott Guinn 3.2% 4.4% 3.6% 5.1% 9.0% 9.9% 14.1% 16.3% 16.3% 11.7% 6.4%
Chris Modelewski 0.7% 1.3% 0.9% 1.4% 2.7% 3.7% 4.7% 9.0% 13.6% 20.2% 41.8%
Richard Ross 4.1% 3.5% 4.2% 6.8% 9.4% 13.1% 17.0% 16.0% 13.7% 8.8% 3.4%
Evan Boliakis 2.3% 3.4% 3.6% 5.6% 7.5% 11.2% 14.5% 16.4% 17.2% 13.5% 4.8%
Joshua Gopeesingh 1.0% 0.6% 1.2% 1.7% 3.2% 4.9% 5.7% 9.5% 13.8% 24.3% 34.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.