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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
5.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.25+9.19vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.38+8.09vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.40+2.60vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.39+5.28vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.90+6.33vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.55+4.19vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College0.83+5.15vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.42+1.20vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.18+1.85vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.43-0.37vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University0.48+2.59vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-4.15vs Predicted
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13Washington College-1.01+2.51vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.06-7.04vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.71-6.05vs Predicted
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16Princeton University0.46-2.05vs Predicted
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17Yale University1.70-8.15vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-8.25vs Predicted
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19Boston College2.20-12.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.19Brown University1.254.2%1st Place
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10.09University of Rhode Island1.384.9%1st Place
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5.6Roger Williams University2.4013.6%1st Place
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9.28Boston University1.395.5%1st Place
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11.33University of South Florida0.902.8%1st Place
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10.19Harvard University1.554.4%1st Place
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12.15Dartmouth College0.833.4%1st Place
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9.2Fordham University1.425.6%1st Place
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10.85Bowdoin College1.183.6%1st Place
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9.63Tufts University1.434.5%1st Place
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13.59Christopher Newport University0.481.7%1st Place
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7.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.937.7%1st Place
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15.51Washington College-1.011.1%1st Place
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6.96Tulane University2.069.8%1st Place
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8.95Northeastern University1.714.4%1st Place
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13.95Princeton University0.461.6%1st Place
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8.85Yale University1.705.3%1st Place
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9.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.734.8%1st Place
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6.06Boston College2.2011.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William George | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Jonathan Riley | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 13.6% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noah Robitshek | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Andreas Keswater | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 4.8% |
| Eric Hansen | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Christopher Long | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% |
| Beckett Kumler | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 3.8% |
| Jack Flores | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| David Grace | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 14.3% | 16.4% |
| Maks Groom | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Jonathan Kelly | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 14.5% | 36.8% |
| Zander King | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Will Priebe | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Ossian Kamal | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 15.1% | 16.1% |
| Alex Adams | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Luke Zylinski | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Michael Kirkman | 11.2% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.