Race 2B

south-1

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Daniel LOCHNER 14.1% 18.9% 19.1% 16.8% 15.7% 8.6% 4.3% 2.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Timmins 9.1% 12.2% 13.0% 18.0% 15.1% 13.3% 10.3% 6.1% 2.5% 0.2% 0.2%
Sean Golden 20.6% 19.7% 20.1% 16.6% 11.4% 7.6% 2.7% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Daniel Montgomery 1.3% 2.3% 2.6% 4.4% 5.2% 7.2% 12.0% 14.3% 19.2% 20.8% 10.7%
Adam Keally 8.7% 9.5% 12.3% 13.8% 14.9% 15.6% 12.6% 7.7% 3.7% 0.9% 0.3%
Alexander Curtiss 34.9% 24.0% 18.4% 10.9% 6.4% 3.7% 1.1% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott Guinn 3.3% 3.8% 3.9% 5.0% 7.1% 11.2% 16.4% 15.6% 16.2% 11.2% 6.3%
Chris Modelewski 1.1% 1.1% 1.0% 1.0% 2.7% 3.3% 5.6% 9.3% 12.5% 21.3% 41.1%
Evan Boliakis 2.8% 3.4% 3.6% 5.0% 6.7% 11.0% 14.7% 16.4% 18.4% 12.2% 5.8%
Richard Ross 3.3% 4.4% 4.8% 6.6% 11.6% 14.3% 14.4% 16.3% 13.5% 8.0% 2.8%
Joshua Gopeesingh 0.8% 0.7% 1.2% 1.9% 3.2% 4.2% 5.9% 10.5% 13.4% 25.4% 32.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.