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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.02+5.59vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.42+7.36vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.71+5.85vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.06+2.94vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+2.55vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.39+3.14vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.43+2.49vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.09-1.46vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.08+2.67vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.38-0.29vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University0.48+2.61vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida0.90-0.88vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-3.58vs Predicted
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14Yale University1.70-5.36vs Predicted
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15Harvard University1.55-4.55vs Predicted
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16Washington College-1.01-0.65vs Predicted
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17Princeton University0.46-3.57vs Predicted
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18Brown University1.25-7.96vs Predicted
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19Dartmouth College0.83-6.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.59Boston College2.0210.2%1st Place
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9.36Fordham University1.425.5%1st Place
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8.85Northeastern University1.716.9%1st Place
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6.94Tulane University2.069.3%1st Place
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7.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.937.6%1st Place
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9.14Boston University1.395.3%1st Place
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9.49Tufts University1.435.0%1st Place
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6.54Roger Williams University2.0910.8%1st Place
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11.67Bowdoin College1.082.9%1st Place
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9.71University of Rhode Island1.384.5%1st Place
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13.61Christopher Newport University0.481.9%1st Place
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11.12University of South Florida0.903.6%1st Place
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9.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.735.1%1st Place
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8.64Yale University1.707.0%1st Place
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10.45Harvard University1.553.9%1st Place
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15.35Washington College-1.011.1%1st Place
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13.43Princeton University0.462.1%1st Place
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10.04Brown University1.254.4%1st Place
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12.12Dartmouth College0.832.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Redmond | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Beckett Kumler | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Will Priebe | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Zander King | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Maks Groom | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Noah Robitshek | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Jack Flores | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Oliver Stokke | 10.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Chance | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.3% |
| Jonathan Riley | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| David Grace | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 16.1% |
| Andreas Keswater | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.7% |
| Luke Zylinski | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Alex Adams | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Eric Hansen | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Jonathan Kelly | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 15.2% | 35.3% |
| Ossian Kamal | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 15.3% |
| William George | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Christopher Long | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.