Race 3B

south-1

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Daniel LOCHNER 14.6% 17.1% 18.9% 16.9% 14.9% 9.2% 5.9% 1.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Alexander Curtiss 34.8% 25.0% 17.6% 12.5% 4.4% 4.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sean Golden 18.5% 22.4% 19.0% 16.6% 11.5% 6.6% 4.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Timmins 8.9% 10.6% 12.5% 14.0% 17.6% 14.9% 10.4% 7.0% 2.4% 1.7% 0.0%
Scott Guinn 3.0% 2.4% 4.4% 5.9% 5.7% 9.5% 13.6% 16.0% 18.2% 15.1% 6.2%
Adam Keally 8.4% 9.0% 11.2% 13.6% 15.3% 13.9% 12.1% 8.2% 5.6% 2.4% 0.3%
Daniel Montgomery 2.3% 3.3% 2.7% 3.5% 5.6% 7.8% 12.9% 13.9% 19.8% 18.4% 9.8%
Jay Spector 5.0% 4.0% 6.2% 7.7% 12.2% 15.4% 14.1% 13.9% 13.2% 6.4% 1.9%
Richard Ross 3.1% 4.4% 5.1% 5.8% 8.1% 11.0% 15.7% 19.3% 13.9% 9.3% 4.3%
Chris Modelewski 0.6% 0.9% 1.2% 1.3% 2.0% 4.3% 4.5% 8.5% 11.9% 20.7% 44.1%
Joshua Gopeesingh 0.8% 0.9% 1.2% 2.2% 2.7% 3.1% 5.3% 10.4% 14.1% 25.9% 33.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.