Race 4B

south-1

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Daniel LOCHNER 14.8% 17.8% 18.0% 18.0% 14.1% 9.9% 4.8% 1.8% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Curtiss 34.6% 25.3% 17.9% 10.1% 6.8% 4.0% 0.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Timmins 8.5% 10.0% 13.0% 13.8% 15.5% 15.7% 13.4% 6.0% 3.0% 1.1% 0.0%
Daniel Montgomery 1.3% 1.7% 3.9% 3.4% 5.4% 6.4% 9.3% 14.9% 23.9% 17.7% 12.1%
Sean Golden 21.9% 23.1% 17.7% 16.4% 10.6% 5.1% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott Guinn 1.9% 2.6% 4.5% 5.1% 6.7% 9.5% 13.1% 18.3% 15.9% 14.5% 7.9%
Joshua Gopeesingh 0.5% 1.6% 2.1% 2.6% 2.2% 3.5% 5.2% 9.7% 14.3% 24.6% 33.7%
Jay Spector 5.0% 4.1% 5.5% 8.5% 11.1% 15.8% 14.5% 14.0% 12.5% 6.6% 2.4%
Adam Keally 7.7% 9.2% 11.1% 13.1% 14.8% 15.1% 11.7% 10.6% 4.2% 2.2% 0.3%
Chris Modelewski 0.5% 0.7% 1.3% 2.0% 2.6% 3.3% 6.1% 6.5% 12.1% 24.0% 40.9%
Richard Ross 3.3% 3.9% 5.0% 7.0% 10.2% 11.7% 17.6% 16.4% 12.9% 9.3% 2.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.