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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College0.83+11.12vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.02+4.69vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+4.47vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.55+6.20vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.71+3.86vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.09+0.38vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.25+2.69vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.06-0.91vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.43+0.67vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.38-0.12vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.42-1.77vs Predicted
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12Yale University1.70-3.21vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.08-1.29vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida0.90-2.95vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.39-5.75vs Predicted
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16Washington College-1.01-0.71vs Predicted
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17Princeton University0.46-3.48vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-8.54vs Predicted
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19Christopher Newport University0.48-5.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.12Dartmouth College0.832.8%1st Place
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6.69Boston College2.0211.0%1st Place
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7.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.937.9%1st Place
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10.2Harvard University1.554.8%1st Place
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8.86Northeastern University1.716.1%1st Place
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6.38Roger Williams University2.0910.9%1st Place
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9.69Brown University1.254.8%1st Place
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7.09Tulane University2.068.9%1st Place
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9.67Tufts University1.434.5%1st Place
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9.88University of Rhode Island1.385.3%1st Place
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9.23Fordham University1.425.0%1st Place
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8.79Yale University1.706.2%1st Place
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11.71Bowdoin College1.083.5%1st Place
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11.05University of South Florida0.903.0%1st Place
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9.25Boston University1.395.1%1st Place
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15.29Washington College-1.011.2%1st Place
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13.52Princeton University0.462.2%1st Place
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9.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.735.1%1st Place
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13.66Christopher Newport University0.481.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Long | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.0% |
| Jack Redmond | 11.0% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Maks Groom | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Eric Hansen | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| Will Priebe | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Oliver Stokke | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| William George | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Zander King | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jack Flores | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Jonathan Riley | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.3% |
| Beckett Kumler | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Alex Adams | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Jonathan Chance | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% |
| Andreas Keswater | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% |
| Noah Robitshek | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% |
| Jonathan Kelly | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 15.3% | 34.7% |
| Ossian Kamal | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 15.8% |
| Luke Zylinski | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| David Grace | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 16.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.