Race 5B

south-1

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Sean Golden 20.0% 23.4% 19.7% 16.4% 10.0% 6.9% 2.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Alexander Curtiss 34.8% 24.2% 18.4% 12.9% 5.6% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Daniel LOCHNER 14.6% 16.9% 17.9% 16.7% 16.2% 9.3% 5.6% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Connor Timmins 9.0% 10.6% 13.2% 15.0% 17.3% 14.2% 11.2% 6.0% 2.1% 1.3% 0.1%
Richard Ross 4.1% 3.6% 4.7% 7.1% 10.5% 12.0% 13.2% 19.1% 14.4% 8.3% 3.0%
Daniel Montgomery 1.8% 1.5% 3.9% 3.2% 5.1% 7.3% 13.8% 16.8% 18.9% 16.4% 11.3%
Evan Boliakis 3.0% 4.2% 3.2% 5.9% 7.1% 12.2% 14.7% 15.4% 17.3% 12.4% 4.6%
Scott Guinn 3.2% 2.4% 4.1% 5.9% 6.6% 12.5% 15.4% 15.5% 15.8% 13.4% 5.2%
Chris Modelewski 0.8% 1.2% 0.5% 1.7% 2.8% 2.9% 5.1% 7.4% 12.8% 22.8% 42.0%
Joshua Gopeesingh 0.6% 1.2% 1.3% 2.1% 2.5% 4.3% 6.1% 9.7% 14.7% 24.2% 33.3%
Adam Keally 8.1% 10.8% 13.1% 13.1% 16.3% 15.7% 11.0% 7.2% 3.2% 1.0% 0.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.