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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.02+5.71vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.55+8.08vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.71+5.77vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+3.81vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.38+4.90vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.42+2.93vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.70+1.69vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.09-1.52vs Predicted
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9Tulane University2.06-2.01vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.08+1.67vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.25-1.05vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-2.49vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.43-3.68vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.39-4.75vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida0.90-3.95vs Predicted
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16Princeton University0.46-2.24vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College0.83-5.00vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University0.48-4.30vs Predicted
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19Washington College-1.01-3.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.71Boston College2.029.0%1st Place
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10.08Harvard University1.554.9%1st Place
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8.77Northeastern University1.716.2%1st Place
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7.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.936.9%1st Place
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9.9University of Rhode Island1.384.9%1st Place
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8.93Fordham University1.425.8%1st Place
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8.69Yale University1.706.8%1st Place
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6.48Roger Williams University2.0911.6%1st Place
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6.99Tulane University2.068.9%1st Place
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11.67Bowdoin College1.083.5%1st Place
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9.95Brown University1.254.7%1st Place
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9.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.735.4%1st Place
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9.32Tufts University1.435.3%1st Place
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9.25Boston University1.395.1%1st Place
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11.05University of South Florida0.903.8%1st Place
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13.76Princeton University0.461.9%1st Place
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12.0Dartmouth College0.832.5%1st Place
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13.7Christopher Newport University0.481.8%1st Place
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15.42Washington College-1.011.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Redmond | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Eric Hansen | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Will Priebe | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Maks Groom | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Jonathan Riley | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Beckett Kumler | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Alex Adams | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 11.6% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Zander King | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Chance | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% |
| William George | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Luke Zylinski | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Jack Flores | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Noah Robitshek | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Andreas Keswater | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 4.0% |
| Ossian Kamal | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 15.6% |
| Christopher Long | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 6.8% |
| David Grace | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 16.2% |
| Jonathan Kelly | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 13.7% | 36.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.