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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.68+3.54vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+0.45vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.20+0.61vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.27+3.44vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.47-1.94vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.57+0.76vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.47-2.27vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.00-0.32vs Predicted
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9William and Mary1.29-1.74vs Predicted
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10Hampton University0.19-0.86vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland0.04-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.54U. S. Naval Academy2.680.1%1st Place
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2.45St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.3%1st Place
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3.61Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.44George Washington University1.270.0%1st Place
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3.06Georgetown University3.470.2%1st Place
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6.76Christopher Newport University1.570.0%1st Place
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4.73Fordham University2.470.1%1st Place
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7.68Old Dominion University1.000.0%1st Place
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7.26William and Mary1.290.0%1st Place
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9.14Hampton University0.190.0%1st Place
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9.33University of Maryland0.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Timmins | 8.6% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 16.5% | 17.1% | 14.8% | 10.5% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 34.1% | 25.9% | 17.2% | 11.9% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 15.0% | 17.7% | 17.8% | 17.6% | 15.4% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evan Boliakis | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 14.4% | 18.5% | 17.1% | 14.7% | 6.4% |
| Sean Golden | 22.4% | 21.8% | 20.4% | 14.7% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richard Ross | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 15.8% | 15.8% | 13.8% | 9.3% | 3.8% |
| Adam Keally | 9.3% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 15.5% | 16.2% | 14.4% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Montgomery | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 16.9% | 17.3% | 9.3% |
| Scott Guinn | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 17.9% | 17.6% | 11.5% | 6.7% |
| Joshua Gopeesingh | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 21.5% | 35.3% |
| Chris Modelewski | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 13.9% | 23.5% | 38.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.