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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.39+8.28vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.02+4.62vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.43+6.28vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.55+6.20vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.06+1.85vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+1.70vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.42+2.27vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.38+1.83vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.70-0.35vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.09-3.55vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.08+0.99vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College0.83+0.01vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.71-4.09vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.25-3.85vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University0.48-1.42vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-6.45vs Predicted
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17Washington College-1.01-1.83vs Predicted
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18Princeton University0.46-4.46vs Predicted
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19University of South Florida0.90-8.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.28Boston University1.395.3%1st Place
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6.62Boston College2.029.8%1st Place
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9.28Tufts University1.436.1%1st Place
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10.2Harvard University1.554.5%1st Place
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6.85Tulane University2.0610.8%1st Place
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7.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.937.6%1st Place
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9.27Fordham University1.425.1%1st Place
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9.83University of Rhode Island1.384.9%1st Place
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8.65Yale University1.706.3%1st Place
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6.45Roger Williams University2.0910.6%1st Place
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11.99Bowdoin College1.082.9%1st Place
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12.01Dartmouth College0.832.9%1st Place
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8.91Northeastern University1.715.1%1st Place
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10.15Brown University1.253.7%1st Place
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13.58Christopher Newport University0.482.2%1st Place
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9.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.735.0%1st Place
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15.17Washington College-1.011.2%1st Place
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13.54Princeton University0.462.2%1st Place
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10.98University of South Florida0.903.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Robitshek | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Jack Redmond | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jack Flores | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Eric Hansen | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% |
| Zander King | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Maks Groom | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Beckett Kumler | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Jonathan Riley | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Alex Adams | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Oliver Stokke | 10.6% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Chance | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 6.3% |
| Christopher Long | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% |
| Will Priebe | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| William George | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| David Grace | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 16.3% |
| Luke Zylinski | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Jonathan Kelly | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 14.8% | 34.1% |
| Ossian Kamal | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 17.3% |
| Andreas Keswater | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.