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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Connor Timmins 8.6% 10.6% 13.7% 16.5% 17.1% 14.8% 10.5% 5.5% 2.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Alexander Curtiss 34.1% 25.9% 17.2% 11.9% 6.3% 3.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Daniel LOCHNER 15.0% 17.7% 17.8% 17.6% 15.4% 8.4% 5.8% 1.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Evan Boliakis 1.8% 3.0% 3.8% 5.0% 6.9% 8.4% 14.4% 18.5% 17.1% 14.7% 6.4%
Sean Golden 22.4% 21.8% 20.4% 14.7% 9.8% 6.8% 2.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Richard Ross 2.7% 4.2% 5.9% 6.0% 9.3% 13.4% 15.8% 15.8% 13.8% 9.3% 3.8%
Adam Keally 9.3% 10.0% 11.8% 15.5% 16.2% 14.4% 10.3% 7.1% 3.6% 1.7% 0.1%
Daniel Montgomery 2.3% 2.1% 2.7% 3.5% 7.2% 9.6% 14.7% 14.4% 16.9% 17.3% 9.3%
Scott Guinn 2.2% 3.7% 3.6% 5.2% 7.5% 11.5% 12.6% 17.9% 17.6% 11.5% 6.7%
Joshua Gopeesingh 0.9% 0.3% 1.7% 2.4% 2.1% 5.0% 6.5% 10.2% 14.1% 21.5% 35.3%
Chris Modelewski 0.7% 0.7% 1.4% 1.7% 2.2% 4.0% 6.0% 7.5% 13.9% 23.5% 38.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.