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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.53+11.45vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+6.31vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.38+5.81vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.42+3.05vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.42+4.52vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.85+1.36vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.60+1.23vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.49+0.36vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.05-2.40vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.44-1.33vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-0.54vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.81+0.28vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.75-4.78vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.38-5.21vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College2.51-6.16vs Predicted
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16George Washington University1.82-4.68vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University-1.38-4.50vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.36-4.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.45Fordham University1.532.4%1st Place
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8.31St. Mary's College of Maryland2.656.6%1st Place
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8.81Dartmouth College2.385.8%1st Place
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7.05Yale University2.429.2%1st Place
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9.52University of Pennsylvania2.425.2%1st Place
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7.36Brown University2.858.1%1st Place
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8.23U. S. Naval Academy2.607.1%1st Place
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8.36College of Charleston2.496.3%1st Place
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6.6Harvard University3.0510.9%1st Place
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8.67Stanford University2.446.2%1st Place
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10.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.163.9%1st Place
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12.28Old Dominion University1.812.1%1st Place
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8.22Georgetown University2.756.2%1st Place
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8.79Cornell University2.385.2%1st Place
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8.84SUNY Maritime College2.515.9%1st Place
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11.32George Washington University1.823.6%1st Place
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12.5Jacksonville University-1.382.6%1st Place
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13.21University of Wisconsin1.362.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Burns | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 16.6% |
| Leo Boucher | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| William Michels | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% |
| Carmen Cowles | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Jordan Bruce | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Smith | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Noah Zittrer | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Chapman Petersen | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Will Murray | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.3% |
| Noyl Odom | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 14.5% |
| Mariner Fagan | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Hayden Earl | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Benton Amthor | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Tyler Wood | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.9% |
| Emily Allen | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 16.4% |
| Reed Weston | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 23.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.