← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Alexander Curtiss 32.2% 26.3% 18.8% 12.9% 6.2% 2.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sean Golden 21.3% 23.0% 20.9% 12.9% 12.5% 6.4% 1.7% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Timmins 8.9% 11.5% 12.5% 15.4% 17.1% 14.0% 11.0% 6.1% 2.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Daniel LOCHNER 15.7% 17.0% 17.3% 19.0% 14.2% 9.3% 4.7% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Scott Guinn 3.3% 2.9% 3.6% 4.4% 7.9% 11.7% 12.0% 17.8% 16.5% 13.1% 6.8%
Evan Boliakis 2.3% 2.2% 5.4% 4.7% 6.8% 11.5% 13.3% 17.3% 17.5% 12.6% 6.4%
Adam Keally 9.5% 9.2% 12.2% 16.8% 14.3% 14.8% 11.2% 7.2% 3.4% 1.4% 0.0%
Joshua Gopeesingh 1.0% 1.1% 0.8% 1.6% 2.6% 3.7% 7.2% 9.8% 15.5% 21.9% 34.8%
Richard Ross 3.3% 3.9% 4.7% 6.0% 10.1% 12.3% 19.8% 14.1% 13.4% 8.6% 3.8%
Daniel Montgomery 1.9% 2.0% 2.9% 4.8% 5.4% 9.7% 12.4% 15.4% 18.5% 17.7% 9.3%
Chris Modelewski 0.6% 0.9% 0.9% 1.5% 2.9% 3.8% 6.1% 9.0% 11.5% 23.9% 38.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.