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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+1.46vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.47+1.05vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.68+1.58vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.20-0.39vs Predicted
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5William and Mary1.29+2.28vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.27+1.30vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.47-2.27vs Predicted
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8Hampton University0.19+1.17vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University1.57-2.27vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.00-2.25vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland0.04-1.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.46St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.3%1st Place
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3.05Georgetown University3.470.2%1st Place
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4.58U. S. Naval Academy2.680.1%1st Place
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3.61Old Dominion University3.200.2%1st Place
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7.28William and Mary1.290.0%1st Place
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7.3George Washington University1.270.0%1st Place
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4.73Fordham University2.470.1%1st Place
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9.17Hampton University0.190.0%1st Place
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6.73Christopher Newport University1.570.0%1st Place
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7.75Old Dominion University1.000.0%1st Place
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9.34University of Maryland0.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Curtiss | 32.2% | 26.3% | 18.8% | 12.9% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Golden | 21.3% | 23.0% | 20.9% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 6.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Timmins | 8.9% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 15.4% | 17.1% | 14.0% | 11.0% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 15.7% | 17.0% | 17.3% | 19.0% | 14.2% | 9.3% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Scott Guinn | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 17.8% | 16.5% | 13.1% | 6.8% |
| Evan Boliakis | 2.3% | 2.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 17.3% | 17.5% | 12.6% | 6.4% |
| Adam Keally | 9.5% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 16.8% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Gopeesingh | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 15.5% | 21.9% | 34.8% |
| Richard Ross | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 19.8% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 8.6% | 3.8% |
| Daniel Montgomery | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 15.4% | 18.5% | 17.7% | 9.3% |
| Chris Modelewski | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 23.9% | 38.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.