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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.22+6.59vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.83+5.20vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.48+2.10vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.02+2.09vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.07+5.08vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.09+0.32vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.42+1.40vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+1.41vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.03-1.15vs Predicted
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10Yale University1.59-2.15vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62-3.01vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.40+0.24vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.46-0.73vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University-0.43+0.66vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.05-5.08vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.89-6.08vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College1.08-6.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.59Brown University2.227.1%1st Place
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7.2Tufts University1.839.0%1st Place
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5.1Harvard University2.4814.5%1st Place
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6.09Boston College2.0210.5%1st Place
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10.08Northeastern University1.074.3%1st Place
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6.32Roger Williams University2.0910.4%1st Place
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8.4University of Rhode Island1.426.3%1st Place
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9.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.733.6%1st Place
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7.85Bowdoin College2.037.0%1st Place
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7.85Yale University1.596.7%1st Place
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7.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.625.7%1st Place
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12.24Boston University0.402.1%1st Place
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12.27Salve Regina University0.461.7%1st Place
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14.66Fairfield University-0.430.9%1st Place
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9.92University of Vermont1.053.9%1st Place
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9.92Connecticut College0.893.2%1st Place
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10.12Dartmouth College1.082.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Stang | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 14.5% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Redmond | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Dillon | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 4.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Nash | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Luke Zylinski | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Mathias Reimer | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| William Kulas | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Peter Stewart | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 16.6% | 14.3% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 17.5% | 12.2% |
| Jane Matthews | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 14.0% | 51.5% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 3.4% |
| Henry Scholz | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 3.4% |
| Ben Sheppard | 2.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.