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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.47+2.15vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.68+2.50vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-0.51vs Predicted
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4William and Mary1.29+3.46vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.27+2.22vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.20-2.44vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.47-2.27vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University1.57-1.36vs Predicted
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9Hampton University0.19+0.22vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland0.04-0.65vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.00-4.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.15Georgetown University3.470.2%1st Place
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4.5U. S. Naval Academy2.680.1%1st Place
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2.49St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.3%1st Place
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7.46William and Mary1.290.0%1st Place
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7.22George Washington University1.270.0%1st Place
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3.56Old Dominion University3.200.2%1st Place
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4.73Fordham University2.470.1%1st Place
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6.64Christopher Newport University1.570.0%1st Place
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9.22Hampton University0.190.0%1st Place
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9.35University of Maryland0.040.0%1st Place
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7.68Old Dominion University1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Golden | 19.4% | 22.6% | 19.0% | 15.8% | 13.1% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Timmins | 10.4% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 17.3% | 14.1% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 33.0% | 25.0% | 18.4% | 12.8% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Guinn | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 14.3% | 17.5% | 18.3% | 14.5% | 6.3% |
| Evan Boliakis | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 17.6% | 17.2% | 12.1% | 5.7% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 17.2% | 18.0% | 16.9% | 18.6% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam Keally | 9.5% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 14.3% | 15.6% | 11.9% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Richard Ross | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 16.4% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 9.1% | 2.9% |
| Joshua Gopeesingh | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 9.1% | 13.1% | 24.3% | 36.4% |
| Chris Modelewski | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 13.8% | 21.2% | 40.2% |
| Daniel Montgomery | 1.3% | 1.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 17.1% | 18.8% | 16.6% | 8.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.