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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Sean Golden 19.4% 22.6% 19.0% 15.8% 13.1% 6.5% 3.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Timmins 10.4% 11.1% 13.4% 14.4% 17.3% 14.1% 10.2% 6.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2%
Alexander Curtiss 33.0% 25.0% 18.4% 12.8% 6.5% 3.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott Guinn 1.7% 3.2% 3.5% 4.8% 6.0% 9.9% 14.3% 17.5% 18.3% 14.5% 6.3%
Evan Boliakis 2.6% 2.9% 4.0% 5.2% 8.2% 10.7% 13.8% 17.6% 17.2% 12.1% 5.7%
Daniel LOCHNER 17.2% 18.0% 16.9% 18.6% 11.2% 8.6% 6.2% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Adam Keally 9.5% 10.4% 12.2% 14.4% 14.3% 15.6% 11.9% 7.1% 3.1% 1.3% 0.2%
Richard Ross 3.3% 3.1% 5.6% 7.4% 10.9% 14.0% 16.4% 14.0% 13.3% 9.1% 2.9%
Joshua Gopeesingh 1.1% 0.9% 1.5% 1.5% 3.4% 3.5% 5.2% 9.1% 13.1% 24.3% 36.4%
Chris Modelewski 0.5% 0.9% 1.2% 1.3% 2.4% 4.0% 6.4% 8.1% 13.8% 21.2% 40.2%
Daniel Montgomery 1.3% 1.9% 4.3% 3.8% 6.7% 9.9% 11.5% 17.1% 18.8% 16.6% 8.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.