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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.42+8.47vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.75+6.56vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.42+4.32vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College2.51+4.79vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.85+2.65vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+2.22vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.38+1.64vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+2.51vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.05-2.39vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.82+1.40vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University-1.38+1.07vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.49-3.64vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.38-4.32vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.44-5.42vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.60-6.81vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.53-3.31vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.36-3.69vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University1.81-6.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.47University of Pennsylvania2.425.0%1st Place
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8.56Georgetown University2.756.7%1st Place
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7.32Yale University2.428.5%1st Place
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8.79SUNY Maritime College2.516.6%1st Place
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7.65Brown University2.858.1%1st Place
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8.22St. Mary's College of Maryland2.656.6%1st Place
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8.64Cornell University2.385.9%1st Place
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10.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.163.9%1st Place
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6.61Harvard University3.059.8%1st Place
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11.4George Washington University1.823.0%1st Place
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12.07Jacksonville University-1.382.9%1st Place
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8.36College of Charleston2.496.2%1st Place
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8.68Dartmouth College2.386.0%1st Place
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8.58Stanford University2.446.9%1st Place
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8.19U. S. Naval Academy2.606.8%1st Place
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12.69Fordham University1.532.5%1st Place
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13.31University of Wisconsin1.361.8%1st Place
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11.95Old Dominion University1.812.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Bruce | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 3.1% |
| Mariner Fagan | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Carmen Cowles | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Benton Amthor | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Leo Boucher | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Hayden Earl | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Will Murray | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Wood | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.6% |
| Emily Allen | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 13.6% |
| Noah Zittrer | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| William Michels | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% |
| Chapman Petersen | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Nathan Smith | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Michael Burns | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 17.5% |
| Reed Weston | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 24.4% |
| Noyl Odom | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 12.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.