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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.53+11.52vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.42+5.04vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.75+5.31vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.85+3.70vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.42+4.48vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.60+2.09vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.38+1.83vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.38+0.70vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.44-0.27vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.05-3.22vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College2.51-2.03vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University-1.38+0.64vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65-4.84vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-3.78vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.49-6.59vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.59-4.09vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.36-3.83vs Predicted
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18George Washington University1.82-6.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.52Fordham University1.532.8%1st Place
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7.04Yale University2.429.2%1st Place
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8.31Georgetown University2.757.1%1st Place
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7.7Brown University2.858.0%1st Place
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9.48University of Pennsylvania2.424.9%1st Place
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8.09U. S. Naval Academy2.607.8%1st Place
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8.83Dartmouth College2.386.5%1st Place
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8.7Cornell University2.386.2%1st Place
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8.73Stanford University2.446.0%1st Place
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6.78Harvard University3.059.4%1st Place
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8.97SUNY Maritime College2.515.3%1st Place
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12.64Jacksonville University-1.383.2%1st Place
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8.16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.656.0%1st Place
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10.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.163.8%1st Place
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8.41College of Charleston2.496.1%1st Place
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11.91Old Dominion University1.592.3%1st Place
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13.17University of Wisconsin1.362.0%1st Place
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11.35George Washington University1.823.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Burns | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 17.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Mariner Fagan | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Jordan Bruce | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.3% |
| Nathan Smith | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| William Michels | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Hayden Earl | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Chapman Petersen | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Benton Amthor | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Emily Allen | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 17.8% |
| Leo Boucher | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Will Murray | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% |
| Noah Zittrer | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Diogo Silva | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 13.3% |
| Reed Weston | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 14.7% | 21.0% |
| Tyler Wood | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.