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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+1.44vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.68+2.46vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.47+0.19vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.20-0.39vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.47-0.12vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.57+0.78vs Predicted
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7William and Mary1.29+0.12vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.27-0.81vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.00-1.16vs Predicted
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10Hampton University0.19-0.83vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland0.04-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.44St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.3%1st Place
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4.46U. S. Naval Academy2.680.1%1st Place
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3.19Georgetown University3.470.2%1st Place
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3.61Old Dominion University3.200.2%1st Place
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4.88Fordham University2.470.1%1st Place
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6.78Christopher Newport University1.570.0%1st Place
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7.12William and Mary1.290.0%1st Place
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7.19George Washington University1.270.0%1st Place
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7.84Old Dominion University1.000.0%1st Place
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9.17Hampton University0.190.0%1st Place
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9.33University of Maryland0.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Curtiss | 33.6% | 26.5% | 16.7% | 13.8% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Timmins | 10.4% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 17.2% | 15.6% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sean Golden | 19.4% | 21.4% | 20.5% | 16.0% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 15.9% | 17.1% | 18.0% | 17.6% | 14.8% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Adam Keally | 8.7% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 16.8% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Richard Ross | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 9.3% | 4.2% |
| Scott Guinn | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 7.6% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 16.6% | 17.0% | 12.6% | 4.4% |
| Evan Boliakis | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 16.9% | 14.7% | 13.9% | 5.4% |
| Daniel Montgomery | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 12.6% | 15.7% | 20.3% | 17.3% | 10.4% |
| Joshua Gopeesingh | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 23.1% | 35.8% |
| Chris Modelewski | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 13.6% | 21.8% | 39.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.