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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.47+2.10vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.68+2.45vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-0.49vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.20-0.35vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.57+1.70vs Predicted
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6William and Mary1.29+1.32vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.00+0.63vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.47-3.21vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.27-1.68vs Predicted
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10Hampton University0.19-0.83vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland0.04-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.1Georgetown University3.470.2%1st Place
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4.45U. S. Naval Academy2.680.1%1st Place
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2.51St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.3%1st Place
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3.65Old Dominion University3.200.2%1st Place
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6.7Christopher Newport University1.570.0%1st Place
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7.32William and Mary1.290.0%1st Place
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7.63Old Dominion University1.000.0%1st Place
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4.79Fordham University2.470.1%1st Place
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7.32George Washington University1.270.0%1st Place
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9.17Hampton University0.190.0%1st Place
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9.36University of Maryland0.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Golden | 21.6% | 20.9% | 19.8% | 16.4% | 11.1% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Timmins | 10.5% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 15.7% | 15.5% | 13.9% | 11.0% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 31.1% | 27.2% | 17.9% | 12.6% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 16.5% | 15.7% | 17.0% | 19.1% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Richard Ross | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 14.4% | 16.7% | 15.0% | 9.8% | 2.3% |
| Scott Guinn | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 12.1% | 15.3% | 16.0% | 16.3% | 12.9% | 6.9% |
| Daniel Montgomery | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 16.1% | 18.6% | 15.7% | 9.4% |
| Adam Keally | 8.8% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 17.7% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Evan Boliakis | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 15.1% | 15.1% | 17.1% | 13.8% | 6.5% |
| Joshua Gopeesingh | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 23.8% | 35.0% |
| Chris Modelewski | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 22.6% | 39.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.