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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+7.13vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.60+6.15vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.49+5.46vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College2.51+5.06vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.82+6.35vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.75+2.35vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin1.36+6.38vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.38+0.78vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.42+0.37vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.42-2.77vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.85-3.46vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.53+0.73vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University-1.38-0.44vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.38-5.47vs Predicted
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15Stanford University2.44-6.24vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-5.82vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.81-5.13vs Predicted
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18Harvard University3.05-11.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.656.3%1st Place
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8.15U. S. Naval Academy2.606.3%1st Place
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8.46College of Charleston2.496.1%1st Place
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9.06SUNY Maritime College2.515.2%1st Place
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11.35George Washington University1.823.6%1st Place
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8.35Georgetown University2.756.5%1st Place
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13.38University of Wisconsin1.361.4%1st Place
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8.78Cornell University2.386.0%1st Place
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9.37University of Pennsylvania2.424.9%1st Place
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7.23Yale University2.429.4%1st Place
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7.54Brown University2.858.0%1st Place
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12.73Fordham University1.531.8%1st Place
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12.56Jacksonville University-1.381.8%1st Place
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8.53Dartmouth College2.387.6%1st Place
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8.76Stanford University2.446.7%1st Place
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10.18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.164.5%1st Place
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11.87Old Dominion University1.812.7%1st Place
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6.58Harvard University3.0511.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Boucher | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Nathan Smith | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Noah Zittrer | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Benton Amthor | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Tyler Wood | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.2% |
| Mariner Fagan | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Reed Weston | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 14.5% | 23.2% |
| Hayden Earl | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Jordan Bruce | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Carmen Cowles | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Michael Burns | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 16.7% |
| Emily Allen | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 17.5% |
| William Michels | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Chapman Petersen | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Will Murray | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% |
| Noyl Odom | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 11.7% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.