Race 11B

south-1

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Sean Golden 19.0% 18.0% 16.2% 17.5% 12.8% 8.7% 4.4% 1.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Curtiss 28.8% 25.0% 17.9% 11.3% 9.6% 4.8% 1.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Timmins 9.6% 8.1% 11.4% 12.2% 13.4% 15.2% 11.7% 10.6% 5.8% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Stessing 10.7% 14.5% 14.2% 14.8% 14.0% 12.8% 8.7% 6.4% 2.3% 1.5% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Adam Keally 6.9% 7.3% 9.4% 11.6% 14.2% 13.4% 14.2% 10.8% 6.5% 4.4% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Daniel LOCHNER 14.4% 14.6% 16.4% 15.3% 13.2% 10.5% 9.2% 3.8% 2.0% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott Guinn 2.4% 3.2% 3.0% 3.8% 5.3% 7.9% 9.7% 15.6% 15.2% 17.7% 10.4% 5.8% 0.0%
Evan Boliakis 1.9% 3.0% 3.6% 3.7% 4.7% 7.7% 9.5% 13.4% 17.3% 16.4% 13.2% 5.6% 0.0%
Daniel Montgomery 1.5% 1.0% 2.4% 2.5% 3.7% 6.0% 10.5% 12.2% 16.6% 18.5% 16.1% 9.0% 0.0%
Richard Ross 3.4% 3.4% 3.9% 5.2% 6.3% 9.0% 13.0% 15.0% 17.7% 11.9% 8.6% 2.6% 0.0%
Joshua Gopeesingh 1.0% 0.9% 0.9% 1.2% 1.5% 1.4% 3.8% 6.0% 8.1% 14.6% 26.2% 34.4% 0.0%
Chris Modelewski 0.4% 1.0% 0.7% 0.9% 1.3% 2.6% 3.7% 3.9% 6.9% 12.2% 24.0% 42.4% 0.0%
Christopher Stessing 10.7% 14.5% 14.2% 14.8% 14.0% 12.8% 8.7% 6.4% 2.3% 1.5% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.