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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+7.17vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.85+5.60vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.05+3.56vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+6.10vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.53+7.35vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.36+7.27vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.38+1.76vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.44+0.56vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College2.51-0.08vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.38-1.29vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.82+0.23vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.42-4.76vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.42-3.43vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.81-2.09vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.60-6.84vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston2.49-7.59vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.42-8.07vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University-1.38-5.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.656.3%1st Place
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7.6Brown University2.858.4%1st Place
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6.56Harvard University3.0511.2%1st Place
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10.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.164.0%1st Place
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12.35Fordham University1.532.2%1st Place
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13.27University of Wisconsin1.361.8%1st Place
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8.76Cornell University2.386.0%1st Place
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8.56Stanford University2.446.8%1st Place
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8.92SUNY Maritime College2.515.9%1st Place
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8.71Dartmouth College2.386.2%1st Place
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11.23George Washington University1.823.4%1st Place
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7.24Yale University2.429.2%1st Place
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9.57University of Pennsylvania2.424.6%1st Place
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11.91Old Dominion University1.813.0%1st Place
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8.16U. S. Naval Academy2.606.6%1st Place
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8.41College of Charleston2.497.0%1st Place
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8.93Georgetown University2.425.3%1st Place
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12.53Jacksonville University-1.382.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Boucher | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Will Murray | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% |
| Michael Burns | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 17.0% |
| Reed Weston | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 13.6% | 24.0% |
| Hayden Earl | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Chapman Petersen | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% |
| Benton Amthor | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| William Michels | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Tyler Wood | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.2% |
| Carmen Cowles | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Jordan Bruce | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.0% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 13.2% |
| Nathan Smith | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Noah Zittrer | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Enzo Menditto | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Emily Allen | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 15.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.