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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.42+8.31vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.05+4.56vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+5.17vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.44+4.79vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.38+3.42vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College2.51+2.79vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University-1.38+5.40vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.82+3.32vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.38-0.18vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.42-2.92vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin1.36+2.19vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.85-4.54vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.60-4.63vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.53-1.66vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.49-6.50vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.81-4.21vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-6.37vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University2.42-8.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.31University of Pennsylvania2.425.5%1st Place
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6.56Harvard University3.0510.7%1st Place
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8.17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.657.4%1st Place
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8.79Stanford University2.446.2%1st Place
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8.42Dartmouth College2.385.9%1st Place
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8.79SUNY Maritime College2.516.5%1st Place
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12.4Jacksonville University-1.382.8%1st Place
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11.32George Washington University1.824.0%1st Place
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8.82Cornell University2.386.0%1st Place
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7.08Yale University2.428.9%1st Place
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13.19University of Wisconsin1.362.2%1st Place
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7.46Brown University2.856.9%1st Place
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8.37U. S. Naval Academy2.607.0%1st Place
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12.34Fordham University1.532.5%1st Place
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8.5College of Charleston2.495.9%1st Place
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11.79Old Dominion University1.812.9%1st Place
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10.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.163.3%1st Place
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9.06Georgetown University2.425.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Bruce | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 10.7% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Leo Boucher | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% |
| Chapman Petersen | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| William Michels | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Benton Amthor | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% |
| Emily Allen | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 13.2% | 16.2% |
| Tyler Wood | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% |
| Hayden Earl | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Carmen Cowles | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Reed Weston | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 23.0% |
| Connor Nelson | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Nathan Smith | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Michael Burns | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 15.3% |
| Noah Zittrer | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| Noyl Odom | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 11.2% |
| Will Murray | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% |
| Enzo Menditto | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.