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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.60+7.04vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+6.09vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.75+5.53vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.49+4.44vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.73+1.44vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.42+3.54vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.38+1.82vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College2.51+0.98vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University-1.38+3.53vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.81+1.98vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.05-4.37vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.44-3.21vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.38-4.34vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.85-6.43vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.82-3.55vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.53-3.35vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-6.98vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.14-4.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.04U. S. Naval Academy2.607.5%1st Place
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8.09St. Mary's College of Maryland2.657.0%1st Place
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8.53Georgetown University2.755.9%1st Place
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8.44College of Charleston2.496.6%1st Place
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6.44Yale University2.7310.9%1st Place
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9.54University of Pennsylvania2.425.2%1st Place
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8.82Dartmouth College2.386.2%1st Place
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8.98SUNY Maritime College2.515.5%1st Place
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12.53Jacksonville University-1.382.1%1st Place
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11.98Old Dominion University1.812.5%1st Place
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6.63Harvard University3.0510.0%1st Place
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8.79Stanford University2.445.7%1st Place
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8.66Cornell University2.385.4%1st Place
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7.57Brown University2.858.7%1st Place
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11.45George Washington University1.823.1%1st Place
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12.65Fordham University1.531.9%1st Place
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10.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.164.0%1st Place
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13.85University of Wisconsin1.141.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Smith | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Leo Boucher | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Mariner Fagan | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Noah Zittrer | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Jack Egan | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Jordan Bruce | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% |
| William Michels | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Benton Amthor | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% |
| Emily Allen | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 15.4% |
| Noyl Odom | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 11.2% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Chapman Petersen | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Hayden Earl | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Wood | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.6% |
| Michael Burns | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 15.8% |
| Will Murray | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% |
| Charlie Herrick | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 14.7% | 29.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.