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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.48+4.14vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.59+5.65vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.02+3.13vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.08+6.03vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.03+2.89vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.83+1.08vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.09-0.50vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62-0.23vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.89+0.80vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.07+0.15vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.05-1.10vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.42-3.50vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-3.57vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.22-6.33vs Predicted
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15Fairfield University-0.43-0.20vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.40-3.57vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University0.46-4.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.14Harvard University2.4815.0%1st Place
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7.65Yale University1.597.6%1st Place
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6.13Boston College2.0210.3%1st Place
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10.03Dartmouth College1.083.6%1st Place
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7.89Bowdoin College2.037.0%1st Place
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7.08Tufts University1.838.2%1st Place
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6.5Roger Williams University2.099.2%1st Place
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7.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.626.2%1st Place
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9.8Connecticut College0.894.6%1st Place
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10.15Northeastern University1.073.5%1st Place
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9.9University of Vermont1.054.3%1st Place
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8.5University of Rhode Island1.425.0%1st Place
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9.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.733.6%1st Place
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7.67Brown University2.227.0%1st Place
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14.8Fairfield University-0.430.8%1st Place
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12.43Boston University0.402.1%1st Place
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12.15Salve Regina University0.462.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Callahan | 15.0% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mathias Reimer | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Jack Redmond | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ben Sheppard | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 3.8% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Oliver Stokke | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| William Kulas | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Henry Scholz | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 3.1% |
| Joshua Dillon | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 4.5% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 3.6% |
| Tyler Nash | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Luke Zylinski | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Mason Stang | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Jane Matthews | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 14.5% | 51.0% |
| Peter Stewart | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 19.0% | 15.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 16.4% | 12.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.