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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Domenic Bove 7.4% 7.5% 7.7% 7.6% 9.6% 10.5% 11.5% 12.2% 13.5% 8.4% 3.6% 0.5%
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 12.2% 14.8% 11.6% 13.6% 11.2% 9.5% 8.9% 8.8% 5.3% 3.0% 1.1% 0.0%
Evan Read 15.5% 13.7% 13.0% 11.4% 12.5% 10.0% 9.0% 8.2% 4.1% 2.0% 0.4% 0.2%
Cameron Fraser 9.1% 11.3% 11.8% 11.1% 11.9% 9.8% 8.9% 9.0% 9.6% 5.5% 1.9% 0.1%
Kyle Carney 14.2% 15.1% 13.8% 12.1% 10.3% 10.3% 7.9% 7.9% 4.1% 3.5% 0.8% 0.0%
Dan Nickerson 16.3% 13.8% 13.5% 12.5% 12.4% 9.1% 9.3% 5.6% 4.9% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Sarah Fiske 6.6% 5.8% 7.6% 8.4% 6.9% 8.6% 10.3% 10.7% 14.2% 12.6% 6.9% 1.4%
Jacob Hardy 0.8% 0.9% 0.8% 1.8% 2.2% 2.2% 2.9% 3.5% 6.4% 10.1% 32.8% 35.6%
Thomas Presti 2.5% 2.3% 3.2% 3.6% 3.9% 7.0% 8.7% 10.2% 11.7% 24.2% 17.5% 5.2%
Ryan Hughes 9.9% 8.5% 10.2% 9.7% 9.5% 11.8% 10.9% 10.9% 9.0% 6.9% 2.4% 0.3%
Tommy Holmberg 5.1% 5.2% 6.1% 7.7% 8.0% 9.2% 10.4% 10.5% 13.9% 14.8% 7.0% 2.1%
Andrew Angione 0.4% 1.1% 0.7% 0.5% 1.6% 2.0% 1.3% 2.5% 3.3% 6.7% 25.3% 54.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.