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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.69+5.16vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University3.26+2.67vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.37+1.42vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.00+1.28vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University3.36-0.53vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.41-1.69vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.41-0.35vs Predicted
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8Brandeis University0.59+2.31vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut1.72-0.63vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.87-4.42vs Predicted
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11Bates College2.43-4.08vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire0.28-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.16Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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4.67Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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4.42Dartmouth College3.370.2%1st Place
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5.28Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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4.47Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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4.31Tufts University3.410.2%1st Place
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6.65Bowdoin College2.410.1%1st Place
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10.31Brandeis University0.590.0%1st Place
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8.37University of Connecticut1.720.0%1st Place
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5.58University of Rhode Island2.870.1%1st Place
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6.92Bates College2.430.1%1st Place
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10.86University of New Hampshire0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domenic Bove | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 12.2% | 14.8% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Evan Read | 15.5% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Fraser | 9.1% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Carney | 14.2% | 15.1% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Dan Nickerson | 16.3% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Fiske | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 6.9% | 1.4% |
| Jacob Hardy | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 32.8% | 35.6% |
| Thomas Presti | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 24.2% | 17.5% | 5.2% |
| Ryan Hughes | 9.9% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 7.0% | 2.1% |
| Andrew Angione | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 6.7% | 25.3% | 54.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.