Race 3A

barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Dan Nickerson 14.4% 12.2% 13.4% 15.5% 11.6% 10.9% 7.1% 7.7% 4.8% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
Evan Read 13.5% 15.8% 12.8% 12.8% 11.7% 9.9% 9.3% 7.3% 3.6% 2.6% 0.7% 0.0%
Sarah Fiske 6.6% 5.6% 6.4% 7.1% 8.1% 7.8% 9.6% 11.9% 15.8% 14.5% 5.3% 1.3%
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 12.2% 13.6% 12.4% 12.4% 12.9% 10.2% 8.6% 7.6% 5.3% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1%
Jacob Hardy 0.7% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.7% 2.1% 2.7% 3.0% 6.0% 10.0% 34.1% 36.1%
Tommy Holmberg 6.2% 5.2% 7.8% 6.8% 5.9% 9.3% 11.3% 12.2% 14.5% 14.4% 5.1% 1.3%
Cameron Fraser 10.5% 11.7% 10.1% 10.9% 10.6% 11.2% 10.6% 9.6% 7.5% 5.1% 1.9% 0.3%
Kyle Carney 16.6% 14.0% 13.2% 10.8% 10.4% 11.0% 9.6% 6.0% 4.7% 2.8% 0.7% 0.2%
Domenic Bove 6.2% 7.3% 9.9% 9.0% 11.0% 11.5% 10.0% 12.3% 11.7% 7.3% 3.2% 0.6%
Ryan Hughes 9.1% 9.0% 9.6% 10.0% 10.8% 9.6% 11.3% 11.3% 8.9% 7.8% 2.2% 0.4%
Andrew Angione 0.9% 1.0% 0.8% 0.6% 0.7% 1.1% 2.3% 2.2% 3.7% 7.2% 26.2% 53.3%
Thomas Presti 3.1% 3.4% 2.4% 2.9% 4.6% 5.4% 7.6% 8.9% 13.5% 22.8% 19.2% 6.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.