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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.69+5.24vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University3.26+2.65vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.41+1.36vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University3.36+0.43vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.00+0.34vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.41+0.82vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.37-2.64vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut1.72+0.28vs Predicted
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9Bates College2.43-2.37vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.87-4.41vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire0.28-0.17vs Predicted
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12Brandeis University0.59-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.24Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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4.65Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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4.36Tufts University3.410.2%1st Place
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4.43Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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5.34Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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6.82Bowdoin College2.410.1%1st Place
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4.36Dartmouth College3.370.2%1st Place
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8.28University of Connecticut1.720.0%1st Place
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6.63Bates College2.430.1%1st Place
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5.59University of Rhode Island2.870.1%1st Place
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10.83University of New Hampshire0.280.0%1st Place
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10.46Brandeis University0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domenic Bove | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 9.0% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 12.4% | 14.6% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Dan Nickerson | 15.5% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 14.1% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Fraser | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Fiske | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 6.9% | 1.1% |
| Evan Read | 15.7% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Presti | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 13.3% | 21.6% | 18.6% | 6.0% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 5.6% | 0.8% |
| Ryan Hughes | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Angione | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 8.6% | 25.5% | 52.6% |
| Jacob Hardy | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 11.4% | 33.6% | 37.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.