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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.37+3.54vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.87+3.68vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University3.36+1.47vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University3.26+0.68vs Predicted
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5Bates College2.43+1.79vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.41-1.66vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut1.72+1.27vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.41-1.30vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.00-3.87vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.69-3.92vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire0.28-0.18vs Predicted
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12Brandeis University0.59-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.54Dartmouth College3.370.1%1st Place
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5.68University of Rhode Island2.870.1%1st Place
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4.47Salve Regina University3.360.2%1st Place
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4.68Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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6.79Bates College2.430.1%1st Place
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4.34Tufts University3.410.2%1st Place
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8.27University of Connecticut1.720.0%1st Place
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6.7Bowdoin College2.410.1%1st Place
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5.13Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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6.08Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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10.82University of New Hampshire0.280.0%1st Place
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10.5Brandeis University0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Read | 14.1% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hughes | 7.5% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Kyle Carney | 16.1% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 11.5% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 7.1% | 1.2% |
| Dan Nickerson | 16.1% | 13.3% | 14.4% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Presti | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 23.2% | 18.0% | 5.6% |
| Sarah Fiske | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 7.0% | 1.2% |
| Cameron Fraser | 9.7% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Bove | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 8.2% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Andrew Angione | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 25.8% | 52.8% |
| Jacob Hardy | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 11.9% | 33.5% | 38.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.