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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.37+3.48vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.69+4.13vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.00+2.36vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.87+1.69vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.41+1.80vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University3.36-1.59vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University3.26-2.40vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.41-3.70vs Predicted
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9Bates College2.43-2.37vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut1.72-1.69vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire0.28-0.17vs Predicted
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12Brandeis University0.59-1.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.48Dartmouth College3.370.1%1st Place
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6.13Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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5.36Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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5.69University of Rhode Island2.870.1%1st Place
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6.8Bowdoin College2.410.1%1st Place
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4.41Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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4.6Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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4.3Tufts University3.410.2%1st Place
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6.63Bates College2.430.0%1st Place
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8.31University of Connecticut1.720.0%1st Place
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10.83University of New Hampshire0.280.0%1st Place
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10.45Brandeis University0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Read | 14.8% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Domenic Bove | 5.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 0.3% |
| Cameron Fraser | 11.4% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Hughes | 7.7% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Fiske | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 6.2% | 1.6% |
| Kyle Carney | 14.6% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 13.8% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Dan Nickerson | 16.7% | 15.8% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 4.8% | 0.6% |
| Thomas Presti | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 22.8% | 18.0% | 6.3% |
| Andrew Angione | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 8.6% | 25.7% | 52.5% |
| Jacob Hardy | 0.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 12.8% | 32.4% | 37.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.