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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.41+3.30vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.37+2.30vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University3.26+1.56vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University3.36+0.29vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut1.72+3.26vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.41+0.66vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.69-1.17vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.87-2.58vs Predicted
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9Bates College1.80-0.97vs Predicted
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10Brandeis University0.59+0.26vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.00-5.68vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire0.28-1.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.3Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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4.3Dartmouth College3.370.1%1st Place
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4.56Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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4.29Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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8.26University of Connecticut1.720.0%1st Place
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6.66Bowdoin College2.410.1%1st Place
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5.83Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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5.42University of Rhode Island2.870.1%1st Place
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8.03Bates College1.800.0%1st Place
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10.26Brandeis University0.590.0%1st Place
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5.32Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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10.77University of New Hampshire0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Nickerson | 14.6% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 15.6% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Evan Read | 14.2% | 16.5% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 14.1% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 14.8% | 15.6% | 15.0% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Presti | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 22.1% | 15.3% | 7.0% |
| Sarah Fiske | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 15.6% | 11.0% | 5.8% | 1.2% |
| Domenic Bove | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Ryan Hughes | 11.1% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| John Cappetta | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 15.6% | 19.5% | 14.8% | 3.4% |
| Jacob Hardy | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 14.7% | 29.6% | 35.3% |
| Cameron Fraser | 10.2% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Angione | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 8.5% | 25.7% | 51.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.