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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+4.25vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.57+9.62vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.38+5.12vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.18+1.09vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.40+2.89vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College1.88+4.19vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41+4.41vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.91-1.96vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-1.38vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.28-1.57vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-1.13vs Predicted
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12U. S. Military Academy2.05-2.73vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.86-3.04vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.92-7.29vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University1.20-2.40vs Predicted
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16Cornell University1.68-5.91vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.09-4.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.25Stanford University3.3014.6%1st Place
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11.62Old Dominion University1.572.9%1st Place
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8.12College of Charleston2.386.2%1st Place
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5.09Harvard University3.1813.5%1st Place
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7.89Georgetown University2.406.4%1st Place
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10.19SUNY Maritime College1.883.5%1st Place
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11.41U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.411.9%1st Place
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6.04Brown University2.9110.5%1st Place
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7.62St. Mary's College of Maryland2.576.2%1st Place
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8.43U. S. Naval Academy2.286.0%1st Place
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9.87Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.773.7%1st Place
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9.27U. S. Military Academy2.054.9%1st Place
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9.96George Washington University1.863.1%1st Place
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6.71Yale University2.929.4%1st Place
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12.6Jacksonville University1.201.5%1st Place
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10.09Cornell University1.684.1%1st Place
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12.84University of Wisconsin1.091.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 14.6% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Parker Purrington | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 14.5% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Justin Callahan | 13.5% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Spencer Barnes | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 5.8% |
| William Weinbecker | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 12.3% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Owen Hennessey | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Jack Welburn | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% |
| James Paul | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% |
| Owen Timms | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.2% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Brent Penwarden | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 14.2% | 22.6% |
| J.J. Smith | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% |
| Lucas Quinn | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 15.6% | 22.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.