Race 8A

barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Evan Read 15.4% 12.3% 13.6% 14.9% 11.7% 10.1% 9.4% 5.9% 4.0% 1.9% 0.8% 0.0%
Domenic Bove 6.8% 8.5% 8.6% 9.6% 10.6% 9.8% 10.3% 13.1% 11.8% 7.8% 2.8% 0.3%
Cameron Fraser 11.7% 9.2% 10.5% 10.7% 10.5% 11.5% 12.2% 9.6% 9.2% 3.9% 1.0% 0.0%
Ryan Hughes 7.8% 9.7% 11.1% 10.5% 11.1% 11.8% 9.5% 10.0% 10.9% 5.9% 1.5% 0.2%
Kyle Carney 14.0% 15.3% 15.1% 11.9% 11.3% 10.4% 8.1% 6.4% 4.5% 2.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 13.2% 14.2% 12.8% 12.3% 12.0% 10.9% 9.0% 7.5% 4.4% 3.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Thomas Presti 3.4% 3.7% 3.4% 4.1% 5.1% 6.1% 8.4% 10.3% 12.2% 21.8% 15.2% 6.3%
Dan Nickerson 17.4% 15.7% 12.4% 13.7% 10.4% 9.5% 8.4% 6.5% 3.6% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0%
John Cappetta 2.8% 3.2% 3.8% 3.6% 6.3% 8.7% 7.3% 10.9% 14.7% 20.7% 14.8% 3.2%
Sarah Fiske 5.9% 5.8% 7.0% 7.2% 8.7% 8.1% 12.3% 13.6% 14.3% 11.1% 5.0% 1.0%
Jacob Hardy 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 0.8% 1.1% 1.8% 3.0% 3.7% 6.0% 11.3% 32.3% 36.7%
Andrew Angione 0.5% 1.3% 0.6% 0.7% 1.2% 1.3% 2.1% 2.5% 4.4% 7.7% 25.4% 52.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.