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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62+6.87vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.02+3.87vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.48+2.10vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.09+2.20vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.83+2.20vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.08+3.93vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.22+0.75vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.42+0.46vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.03-1.36vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-0.69vs Predicted
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11Yale University1.59-2.96vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.00-1.35vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.40-0.82vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.07-4.09vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.80-4.66vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.46-4.04vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University-0.43-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.627.1%1st Place
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5.87Boston College2.0210.8%1st Place
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5.1Harvard University2.4814.3%1st Place
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6.2Roger Williams University2.0910.0%1st Place
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7.2Tufts University1.837.6%1st Place
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9.93Dartmouth College1.083.6%1st Place
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7.75Brown University2.227.1%1st Place
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8.46University of Rhode Island1.425.5%1st Place
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7.64Bowdoin College2.037.4%1st Place
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9.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.734.2%1st Place
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8.04Yale University1.596.8%1st Place
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10.65Connecticut College1.002.8%1st Place
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12.18Boston University0.402.0%1st Place
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9.91Northeastern University1.074.3%1st Place
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10.34University of Vermont0.803.1%1st Place
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11.96Salve Regina University0.462.3%1st Place
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14.61Fairfield University-0.430.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Kulas | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Jack Redmond | 10.8% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 14.3% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Ben Sheppard | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 3.6% |
| Mason Stang | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Tyler Nash | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Luke Zylinski | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| Mathias Reimer | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| William Hurd | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 5.8% |
| Peter Stewart | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 16.2% | 15.6% |
| Joshua Dillon | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 3.8% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 3.4% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 12.7% | 17.3% | 12.2% |
| Jane Matthews | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 14.5% | 49.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.