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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.69+5.04vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.41+2.18vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.37+1.31vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University3.36+0.31vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.87+0.48vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.00-0.81vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.41-0.45vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University3.26-3.50vs Predicted
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9Bates College1.80-1.00vs Predicted
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10Brandeis University0.59+0.25vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut1.72-2.59vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire0.28-1.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.04Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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4.18Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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4.31Dartmouth College3.370.2%1st Place
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4.31Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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5.48University of Rhode Island2.870.1%1st Place
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5.19Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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6.55Bowdoin College2.410.1%1st Place
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4.5Northeastern University3.260.2%1st Place
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8.0Bates College1.800.0%1st Place
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10.25Brandeis University0.590.0%1st Place
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8.41University of Connecticut1.720.0%1st Place
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10.79University of New Hampshire0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domenic Bove | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Dan Nickerson | 14.5% | 16.5% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Evan Read | 15.3% | 12.3% | 15.6% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 15.0% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hughes | 8.7% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Cameron Fraser | 10.6% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Fiske | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 4.6% | 1.4% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 15.9% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| John Cappetta | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 21.2% | 13.6% | 3.6% |
| Jacob Hardy | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 6.9% | 13.3% | 30.0% | 35.0% |
| Thomas Presti | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 16.9% | 21.0% | 16.9% | 7.1% |
| Andrew Angione | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 8.1% | 25.2% | 52.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.