Race 10A

barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Kyle Carney 14.3% 14.7% 11.3% 13.5% 13.3% 9.8% 9.5% 6.8% 3.8% 2.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 12.4% 14.9% 12.2% 12.5% 12.4% 10.4% 9.0% 8.2% 5.2% 2.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Evan Read 15.9% 12.3% 14.6% 12.3% 11.1% 11.4% 10.2% 6.6% 3.7% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Cameron Fraser 8.1% 12.3% 11.6% 10.9% 11.6% 10.9% 9.7% 11.1% 7.7% 4.8% 1.1% 0.2%
Ryan Hughes 9.1% 9.8% 10.4% 9.8% 11.3% 11.0% 11.5% 8.4% 9.5% 6.8% 2.2% 0.2%
Dan Nickerson 16.3% 14.5% 13.2% 13.4% 11.5% 10.0% 9.3% 5.7% 4.2% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Domenic Bove 8.2% 8.4% 9.8% 8.7% 8.4% 10.7% 10.2% 13.8% 9.8% 7.4% 3.4% 1.2%
Thomas Presti 3.7% 3.8% 2.9% 4.4% 4.4% 5.6% 7.8% 9.5% 13.5% 22.6% 16.1% 5.7%
Sarah Fiske 5.7% 4.7% 7.8% 8.7% 8.9% 10.9% 8.9% 13.6% 15.4% 10.4% 4.5% 0.5%
John Cappetta 4.2% 2.7% 5.0% 3.8% 4.1% 6.5% 8.1% 10.2% 16.8% 19.9% 14.2% 4.5%
Jacob Hardy 1.5% 0.9% 0.7% 0.9% 1.9% 1.3% 3.3% 3.2% 6.6% 11.7% 31.5% 36.5%
Andrew Angione 0.6% 1.0% 0.5% 1.1% 1.1% 1.5% 2.5% 2.9% 3.8% 7.9% 25.9% 51.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.