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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.61+2.05vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.04+1.72vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.70+2.88vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.79+1.40vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California0.90+2.82vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.98+1.99vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University0.74+2.65vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.86-0.35vs Predicted
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9California Poly Maritime Academy1.20-2.03vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13-2.07vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University0.67-2.50vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego0.68-3.65vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-1.81+0.33vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-5.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.05Stanford University2.6127.9%1st Place
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3.72University of California at Santa Barbara2.0419.2%1st Place
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5.88University of Hawaii1.708.8%1st Place
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5.4University of California at Los Angeles1.799.8%1st Place
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7.82University of Southern California0.904.2%1st Place
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7.99University of California at Berkeley0.983.9%1st Place
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9.65Arizona State University0.742.2%1st Place
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7.65Boston University0.864.7%1st Place
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6.97California Poly Maritime Academy1.205.2%1st Place
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7.93Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.134.2%1st Place
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8.5Western Washington University0.673.2%1st Place
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8.35University of California at San Diego0.683.9%1st Place
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13.33University of California at Irvine-1.810.2%1st Place
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8.75University of California at Santa Cruz0.862.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 27.9% | 19.6% | 17.7% | 13.1% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Kayda | 19.2% | 19.2% | 16.1% | 14.1% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Lahr | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Grant Janov | 9.8% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Morgana Manti | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 1.3% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 1.4% |
| Aidan Boylan | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 21.0% | 5.6% |
| Benjamin Luu | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 1.1% |
| Ryan Downey | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 1.6% |
| Dalton Lovett | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 2.0% |
| Noah Barton | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 1.9% |
| Sriskandha Kandimalla | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 81.2% |
| Blake Roberts | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.