Race 11A

barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Sarah Fiske 5.1% 6.0% 5.8% 7.6% 7.1% 8.4% 8.9% 14.5% 14.2% 15.2% 6.0% 1.2%
Cameron Fraser 8.7% 10.6% 11.6% 9.8% 10.9% 12.1% 11.1% 10.2% 8.3% 4.9% 1.5% 0.3%
Ryan Hughes 9.9% 8.8% 9.3% 9.8% 10.4% 9.1% 10.9% 13.1% 9.6% 7.2% 1.8% 0.1%
Dan Nickerson 13.6% 14.6% 14.2% 13.9% 12.5% 10.5% 7.4% 6.1% 4.4% 1.8% 1.0% 0.0%
Tommy Holmberg 5.6% 6.2% 6.6% 7.7% 7.8% 9.6% 10.6% 10.6% 13.5% 13.5% 6.9% 1.4%
Domenic Bove 8.7% 6.6% 8.1% 6.9% 9.7% 10.2% 11.6% 12.4% 11.8% 9.4% 4.3% 0.3%
Kyle Carney 15.7% 14.6% 12.4% 12.4% 12.8% 8.6% 8.8% 6.2% 5.6% 2.2% 0.7% 0.0%
Thomas Presti 2.7% 4.1% 3.7% 3.8% 3.9% 6.0% 7.3% 9.3% 12.8% 22.8% 17.3% 6.3%
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 13.1% 13.0% 14.3% 13.8% 10.7% 10.0% 10.1% 6.9% 5.1% 2.3% 0.7% 0.0%
Evan Read 15.3% 13.8% 12.3% 12.6% 10.9% 12.1% 8.8% 6.0% 5.6% 2.0% 0.6% 0.0%
Jacob Hardy 1.2% 1.0% 0.8% 1.0% 1.9% 1.4% 2.6% 2.7% 5.5% 11.2% 33.4% 37.3%
Andrew Angione 0.4% 0.7% 0.9% 0.7% 1.4% 2.0% 1.9% 2.0% 3.6% 7.5% 25.8% 53.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.