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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University3.36+3.53vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.00+3.34vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.41+1.36vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.37+0.46vs Predicted
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5Bates College2.43+1.76vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University3.26-1.30vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.41-0.28vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.69-1.99vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.87-3.49vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut1.72-1.70vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire0.28-0.17vs Predicted
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12Brandeis University0.59-1.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.53Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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5.34Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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4.36Tufts University3.410.2%1st Place
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4.46Dartmouth College3.370.1%1st Place
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6.76Bates College2.430.1%1st Place
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4.7Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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6.72Bowdoin College2.410.1%1st Place
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6.01Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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5.51University of Rhode Island2.870.1%1st Place
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8.3University of Connecticut1.720.0%1st Place
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10.83University of New Hampshire0.280.0%1st Place
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10.47Brandeis University0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Carney | 13.7% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Fraser | 9.3% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Dan Nickerson | 16.5% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Evan Read | 12.3% | 17.3% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 6.4% | 1.4% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 14.6% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Fiske | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 6.1% | 2.4% |
| Domenic Bove | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Ryan Hughes | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Presti | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 22.1% | 18.3% | 5.9% |
| Andrew Angione | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 8.9% | 25.6% | 52.1% |
| Jacob Hardy | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 12.0% | 34.0% | 37.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.