Race 1B

barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Duncan Swain 21.2% 18.6% 18.4% 14.4% 10.5% 8.7% 3.6% 2.8% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Ryan Morrison 7.1% 8.4% 10.1% 12.0% 12.3% 12.0% 14.1% 9.7% 8.8% 3.8% 1.7% 0.0%
Matthew Coughlin 11.5% 10.3% 11.6% 13.7% 13.0% 13.1% 10.9% 9.2% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Edward Moan 1.6% 2.2% 2.8% 3.4% 3.9% 6.2% 7.9% 12.5% 15.6% 20.2% 18.4% 5.3%
Ryan Astwood 22.3% 22.6% 17.4% 11.9% 10.2% 7.0% 4.0% 3.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Ian Storck 13.6% 14.5% 14.3% 13.2% 14.6% 11.2% 8.1% 6.1% 2.8% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Philip Koch 4.8% 5.1% 4.7% 7.9% 7.6% 9.3% 10.2% 14.1% 16.0% 13.2% 5.5% 1.6%
Robert Lippincott 7.9% 8.1% 8.9% 10.9% 10.9% 11.2% 12.9% 13.4% 7.7% 5.6% 2.4% 0.1%
Jared Dunn 2.2% 1.2% 2.3% 2.7% 3.8% 6.5% 8.4% 11.8% 16.7% 22.0% 17.4% 5.0%
Jesse Thomas 6.4% 7.0% 7.6% 7.8% 10.9% 11.7% 15.3% 12.1% 10.8% 7.8% 2.5% 0.1%
David Mazotas 0.8% 0.1% 0.7% 0.7% 0.8% 0.3% 1.4% 1.8% 3.7% 6.7% 15.2% 67.8%
Austin Smyth 0.6% 1.9% 1.2% 1.4% 1.5% 2.8% 3.2% 3.4% 11.1% 16.5% 36.3% 20.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.