Race 2B

barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Matthew Coughlin 10.8% 10.4% 10.4% 13.7% 13.2% 14.1% 11.7% 8.7% 4.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Ryan Morrison 6.8% 10.2% 9.9% 10.9% 10.6% 12.6% 13.7% 10.9% 9.2% 3.6% 1.5% 0.1%
Robert Lippincott 7.9% 8.3% 9.2% 8.4% 11.3% 12.2% 13.7% 12.9% 10.5% 3.9% 1.7% 0.0%
Duncan Swain 21.6% 20.6% 18.3% 13.5% 10.2% 7.3% 4.6% 2.6% 1.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Edward Moan 1.7% 2.5% 2.1% 4.2% 4.5% 5.8% 7.2% 11.7% 16.2% 21.7% 17.7% 4.7%
Philip Koch 3.7% 4.9% 5.0% 7.9% 5.9% 7.8% 12.3% 13.5% 16.8% 14.9% 6.1% 1.2%
Ryan Astwood 25.4% 19.9% 15.4% 13.3% 11.3% 6.7% 4.2% 3.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Jared Dunn 1.8% 2.6% 3.3% 3.3% 4.9% 4.8% 8.0% 9.3% 15.8% 21.0% 20.2% 5.0%
Jesse Thomas 4.4% 6.3% 9.5% 9.1% 12.2% 13.2% 12.1% 14.5% 10.0% 6.5% 2.1% 0.1%
Ian Storck 14.5% 12.7% 15.0% 13.8% 12.6% 12.1% 9.1% 6.0% 2.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
David Mazotas 0.7% 0.5% 0.4% 0.5% 0.7% 1.1% 1.0% 1.9% 3.4% 6.8% 15.2% 67.8%
Austin Smyth 0.7% 1.1% 1.5% 1.4% 2.6% 2.3% 2.4% 5.0% 8.7% 18.5% 34.7% 21.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.