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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.61+2.19vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.41+2.03vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.04+0.97vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.79+1.63vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.20+2.03vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+2.89vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+1.06vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.68+0.38vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California0.90-1.03vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University0.74-0.24vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University0.67-2.29vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley0.98-3.71vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.86-5.19vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-1.81-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.19Stanford University2.6123.1%1st Place
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4.03University of Hawaii2.4118.1%1st Place
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3.97University of California at Santa Barbara2.0416.8%1st Place
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5.63University of California at Los Angeles1.798.7%1st Place
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7.03California Poly Maritime Academy1.205.1%1st Place
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8.89University of California at Santa Cruz0.862.8%1st Place
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8.06Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.134.0%1st Place
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8.38University of California at San Diego0.683.5%1st Place
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7.97University of Southern California0.903.9%1st Place
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9.76Arizona State University0.742.1%1st Place
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8.71Western Washington University0.672.9%1st Place
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8.29University of California at Berkeley0.984.1%1st Place
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7.81Boston University0.864.2%1st Place
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13.29University of California at Irvine-1.810.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 23.1% | 23.4% | 15.8% | 14.4% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Anderson | 18.1% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Chris Kayda | 16.8% | 16.8% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grant Janov | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Downey | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Blake Roberts | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 3.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 1.4% |
| Noah Barton | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 2.4% |
| Morgana Manti | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 1.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 23.2% | 6.3% |
| Dalton Lovett | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 2.6% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 1.5% |
| Benjamin Luu | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 1.4% |
| Sriskandha Kandimalla | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 7.2% | 80.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.