Race 3B

barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Robert Lippincott 7.2% 6.7% 8.7% 9.7% 10.9% 13.0% 14.5% 12.1% 9.8% 5.0% 2.2% 0.2%
Ian Storck 11.8% 15.4% 14.4% 13.4% 13.6% 11.5% 9.6% 5.7% 3.0% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Duncan Swain 21.6% 19.6% 16.7% 13.8% 12.5% 7.7% 4.8% 2.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Matthew Coughlin 9.6% 12.9% 12.9% 12.0% 14.2% 12.2% 9.9% 9.0% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Edward Moan 1.8% 2.5% 3.0% 3.8% 3.8% 5.7% 7.9% 11.5% 15.3% 21.0% 17.9% 5.8%
Ryan Astwood 24.0% 19.9% 16.7% 15.0% 9.0% 7.2% 4.8% 1.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Morrison 9.0% 8.0% 11.7% 10.8% 11.4% 12.8% 11.3% 11.1% 8.1% 3.9% 1.7% 0.2%
Jesse Thomas 7.1% 7.6% 6.0% 11.2% 9.5% 11.4% 10.7% 15.2% 10.6% 7.6% 2.8% 0.3%
Jared Dunn 1.9% 1.0% 2.3% 3.0% 4.8% 4.8% 10.7% 10.3% 15.7% 23.4% 17.4% 4.7%
Philip Koch 4.5% 4.7% 5.9% 5.8% 7.8% 10.0% 11.0% 13.7% 17.1% 12.7% 5.5% 1.3%
Austin Smyth 1.2% 1.3% 0.9% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 3.6% 4.3% 10.5% 17.3% 32.6% 22.3%
David Mazotas 0.3% 0.4% 0.8% 0.5% 0.5% 0.7% 1.2% 3.1% 2.9% 5.4% 19.0% 65.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.