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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.41+3.14vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.61+1.20vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.79+2.61vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.04-0.11vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California0.90+2.80vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.68+2.52vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.98+1.25vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University0.74+1.79vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13-1.02vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy1.20-2.95vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.86-3.22vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-3.03vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.67-4.27vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-1.81-0.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.14University of Hawaii2.4115.8%1st Place
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3.2Stanford University2.6123.1%1st Place
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5.61University of California at Los Angeles1.7910.2%1st Place
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3.89University of California at Santa Barbara2.0418.2%1st Place
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7.8University of Southern California0.904.2%1st Place
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8.52University of California at San Diego0.683.8%1st Place
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8.25University of California at Berkeley0.983.6%1st Place
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9.79Arizona State University0.741.4%1st Place
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7.98Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.133.6%1st Place
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7.05California Poly Maritime Academy1.205.5%1st Place
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7.78Boston University0.864.6%1st Place
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8.97University of California at Santa Cruz0.862.6%1st Place
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8.73Western Washington University0.673.0%1st Place
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13.28University of California at Irvine-1.810.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Anderson | 15.8% | 16.4% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 23.1% | 21.2% | 18.9% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Janov | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Chris Kayda | 18.2% | 17.5% | 15.4% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 1.2% |
| Noah Barton | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 1.9% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 2.2% |
| Aidan Boylan | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 21.9% | 5.9% |
| Kai Ponting | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 1.4% |
| Ryan Downey | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| Benjamin Luu | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 1.5% |
| Blake Roberts | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 3.2% |
| Dalton Lovett | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 2.9% |
| Sriskandha Kandimalla | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 79.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.