Race 4B

barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Ryan Morrison 7.8% 8.0% 8.7% 10.8% 12.6% 11.7% 13.5% 12.0% 8.6% 5.2% 1.0% 0.1%
Matthew Coughlin 10.5% 11.5% 12.3% 15.1% 11.0% 12.6% 11.5% 8.2% 5.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
Edward Moan 2.7% 1.9% 3.1% 3.4% 4.9% 5.1% 7.5% 9.5% 16.4% 23.3% 17.4% 4.8%
Ryan Astwood 22.8% 19.0% 20.1% 13.1% 10.6% 7.9% 3.1% 2.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Duncan Swain 22.0% 21.3% 15.5% 12.7% 10.6% 8.4% 5.0% 2.7% 1.5% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Robert Lippincott 6.9% 7.8% 9.3% 10.1% 9.9% 12.3% 14.5% 12.1% 9.0% 6.4% 1.7% 0.0%
Jared Dunn 2.3% 3.2% 2.1% 3.1% 5.5% 5.3% 7.5% 11.2% 15.2% 20.4% 18.5% 5.7%
Jesse Thomas 7.0% 6.5% 8.6% 8.0% 10.6% 11.6% 11.8% 13.6% 11.6% 7.6% 2.7% 0.4%
Philip Koch 2.8% 4.2% 5.8% 7.5% 8.6% 9.8% 11.7% 15.5% 16.6% 11.5% 5.5% 0.5%
Ian Storck 13.4% 14.9% 13.3% 15.1% 13.0% 11.8% 8.9% 5.1% 3.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Austin Smyth 1.5% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 1.7% 2.8% 3.9% 5.8% 8.2% 16.7% 33.9% 22.9%
David Mazotas 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.6% 1.0% 0.7% 1.1% 2.3% 3.7% 5.7% 18.4% 65.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.