← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.61+2.21vs Predicted
-
2University of Hawaii2.41+2.07vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Berkeley0.98+5.35vs Predicted
-
4University of California at San Diego0.68+4.63vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Barbara2.04-1.21vs Predicted
-
6Boston University0.86+1.85vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+1.92vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Los Angeles1.79-2.41vs Predicted
-
9Western Washington University0.67-0.32vs Predicted
-
10California Poly Maritime Academy1.20-3.01vs Predicted
-
11Arizona State University0.74-1.33vs Predicted
-
12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13-3.82vs Predicted
-
13University of Southern California0.90-5.16vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Irvine-1.81-0.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.21Stanford University2.6124.9%1st Place
-
4.07University of Hawaii2.4116.5%1st Place
-
8.35University of California at Berkeley0.982.7%1st Place
-
8.63University of California at San Diego0.682.9%1st Place
-
3.79University of California at Santa Barbara2.0419.4%1st Place
-
7.85Boston University0.864.0%1st Place
-
8.92University of California at Santa Cruz0.862.6%1st Place
-
5.59University of California at Los Angeles1.798.6%1st Place
-
8.68Western Washington University0.673.4%1st Place
-
6.99California Poly Maritime Academy1.204.7%1st Place
-
9.67Arizona State University0.741.8%1st Place
-
8.18Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.133.8%1st Place
-
7.84University of Southern California0.904.2%1st Place
-
13.22University of California at Irvine-1.810.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 24.9% | 19.7% | 17.4% | 14.3% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Anderson | 16.5% | 16.3% | 15.9% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 1.8% |
| Noah Barton | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 2.8% |
| Chris Kayda | 19.4% | 17.3% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Luu | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 1.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 3.6% |
| Grant Janov | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Dalton Lovett | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 2.8% |
| Ryan Downey | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| Aidan Boylan | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 19.8% | 5.9% |
| Kai Ponting | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 1.8% |
| Morgana Manti | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 1.3% |
| Sriskandha Kandimalla | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 7.4% | 78.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.