Race 5B

barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Robert Lippincott 6.8% 7.8% 8.8% 8.7% 10.8% 13.7% 14.6% 11.8% 9.7% 4.5% 2.5% 0.3%
Ryan Morrison 7.0% 9.2% 10.4% 10.8% 13.6% 12.9% 11.8% 12.1% 7.3% 3.6% 1.3% 0.0%
Duncan Swain 22.6% 17.1% 18.6% 12.6% 11.8% 8.9% 5.0% 2.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Astwood 22.4% 23.5% 15.5% 14.6% 10.6% 6.0% 4.2% 2.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Jesse Thomas 5.2% 6.9% 7.4% 9.3% 10.9% 12.1% 12.1% 12.8% 11.4% 8.2% 3.3% 0.4%
Philip Koch 3.9% 3.9% 6.1% 6.5% 8.4% 8.2% 12.0% 14.5% 15.8% 14.3% 5.2% 1.2%
Ian Storck 14.2% 14.6% 13.8% 13.9% 13.5% 10.9% 9.4% 5.7% 3.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Matthew Coughlin 12.6% 11.3% 11.3% 14.4% 10.4% 13.1% 9.6% 8.6% 5.4% 2.3% 1.0% 0.0%
Edward Moan 1.7% 2.0% 3.0% 3.8% 3.4% 6.7% 9.0% 12.3% 16.9% 21.2% 16.1% 3.9%
Jared Dunn 2.2% 2.4% 3.4% 3.3% 4.2% 3.7% 8.2% 10.4% 15.9% 21.6% 19.2% 5.5%
Austin Smyth 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.5% 1.7% 2.6% 3.1% 5.5% 9.2% 17.2% 32.6% 23.6%
David Mazotas 0.4% 0.3% 0.7% 0.6% 0.7% 1.2% 1.0% 2.1% 3.5% 6.0% 18.4% 65.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.