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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.18+3.37vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.54+3.69vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.65+0.36vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.95+0.82vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.67+0.46vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.70-2.74vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.36-0.93vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.96-1.03vs Predicted
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9Bates College1.32-0.61vs Predicted
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10Brandeis University1.25-1.52vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut0.51-1.03vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-0.47-0.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.37Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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5.69Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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3.36Tufts University3.650.2%1st Place
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4.82University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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5.46Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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3.26Boston University3.700.2%1st Place
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6.07Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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6.97Bowdoin College1.960.1%1st Place
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8.39Bates College1.320.0%1st Place
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8.48Brandeis University1.250.0%1st Place
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9.97University of Connecticut0.510.0%1st Place
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11.15University of New Hampshire-0.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Storck | 12.6% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 5.8% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Duncan Swain | 22.4% | 18.2% | 18.0% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 9.9% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Morrison | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Astwood | 24.1% | 20.2% | 15.7% | 14.9% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Thomas | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Philip Koch | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 16.0% | 12.6% | 6.5% | 1.2% |
| Edward Moan | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 17.0% | 21.9% | 15.9% | 4.0% |
| Jared Dunn | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 16.2% | 22.0% | 18.3% | 5.6% |
| Austin Smyth | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 16.8% | 33.4% | 23.3% |
| David Mazotas | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 18.5% | 65.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.