← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.22+6.86vs Predicted
-
2Boston College2.02+3.88vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62+4.94vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University2.48+1.22vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University1.83+1.94vs Predicted
-
6University of Vermont0.80+4.20vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University2.09-0.72vs Predicted
-
8Yale University1.59-0.10vs Predicted
-
9Northeastern University1.07+1.16vs Predicted
-
10Bowdoin College2.03-2.30vs Predicted
-
11Dartmouth College1.08-1.01vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island1.42-3.52vs Predicted
-
13Salve Regina University0.46-0.97vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-4.70vs Predicted
-
15Connecticut College1.00-4.58vs Predicted
-
16Fairfield University-0.43-1.46vs Predicted
-
17Boston University0.40-4.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.86Brown University2.227.4%1st Place
-
5.88Boston College2.0210.9%1st Place
-
7.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.625.9%1st Place
-
5.22Harvard University2.4813.6%1st Place
-
6.94Tufts University1.8310.0%1st Place
-
10.2University of Vermont0.803.9%1st Place
-
6.28Roger Williams University2.0910.2%1st Place
-
7.9Yale University1.596.1%1st Place
-
10.16Northeastern University1.073.8%1st Place
-
7.7Bowdoin College2.036.9%1st Place
-
9.99Dartmouth College1.083.6%1st Place
-
8.48University of Rhode Island1.425.2%1st Place
-
12.03Salve Regina University0.462.1%1st Place
-
9.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.734.5%1st Place
-
10.42Connecticut College1.003.6%1st Place
-
14.54Fairfield University-0.430.5%1st Place
-
12.16Boston University0.401.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Stang | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Jack Redmond | 10.9% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| William Kulas | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 13.6% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 4.7% |
| Oliver Stokke | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Mathias Reimer | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Joshua Dillon | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 4.0% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Ben Sheppard | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 4.0% |
| Tyler Nash | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 16.8% | 11.7% |
| Luke Zylinski | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 1.9% |
| William Hurd | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 5.5% |
| Jane Matthews | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 13.9% | 47.9% |
| Peter Stewart | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 16.8% | 14.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.