Race 7B

barnett

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Jesse Thomas 5.2% 7.2% 6.7% 9.1% 8.7% 12.5% 13.6% 14.6% 11.3% 7.4% 3.5% 0.2%
Robert Lippincott 6.3% 7.8% 9.6% 9.4% 12.5% 11.3% 13.3% 12.7% 9.7% 6.0% 1.3% 0.1%
Ian Storck 14.4% 10.9% 16.0% 13.1% 13.1% 12.3% 9.5% 5.5% 3.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Philip Koch 3.7% 3.4% 4.6% 6.9% 8.3% 11.9% 10.8% 14.2% 17.0% 11.9% 6.0% 1.3%
Ryan Astwood 22.8% 23.0% 15.6% 12.9% 9.5% 7.8% 4.1% 3.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Duncan Swain 22.5% 18.3% 18.0% 13.9% 10.7% 7.5% 4.9% 3.0% 0.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Morrison 9.0% 8.8% 9.5% 10.6% 12.8% 12.1% 11.7% 11.7% 8.4% 4.0% 1.2% 0.2%
Edward Moan 2.5% 2.7% 3.3% 3.8% 4.5% 5.7% 8.4% 9.6% 15.8% 21.4% 16.9% 5.4%
Matthew Coughlin 10.1% 12.6% 12.8% 16.0% 13.3% 10.1% 10.6% 8.3% 3.8% 1.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Jared Dunn 1.9% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 4.2% 5.2% 7.7% 10.2% 15.1% 23.0% 18.1% 5.6%
Austin Smyth 1.2% 1.6% 0.6% 0.8% 1.5% 2.8% 4.3% 5.1% 9.8% 15.9% 33.9% 22.5%
David Mazotas 0.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 1.1% 2.1% 3.8% 6.6% 18.1% 64.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.