Race 8B

barnett

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Ian Storck 13.0% 13.6% 14.9% 14.2% 14.1% 11.0% 9.0% 6.1% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Matthew Coughlin 10.3% 12.8% 11.2% 14.6% 12.9% 10.1% 11.3% 9.4% 5.1% 1.7% 0.6% 0.0%
Duncan Swain 21.7% 19.1% 19.2% 12.5% 11.3% 7.8% 5.8% 1.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Lippincott 5.9% 8.4% 9.3% 10.9% 10.2% 12.7% 12.6% 13.4% 8.4% 6.3% 1.6% 0.3%
Jesse Thomas 6.0% 6.8% 8.2% 7.8% 11.5% 11.5% 14.1% 11.0% 10.9% 7.9% 3.9% 0.4%
Edward Moan 2.4% 2.2% 2.5% 3.7% 4.3% 6.9% 6.5% 9.8% 17.2% 22.4% 16.3% 5.8%
Philip Koch 4.2% 5.1% 5.5% 6.4% 8.5% 9.3% 11.7% 13.7% 14.7% 12.7% 6.5% 1.7%
Ryan Astwood 25.7% 20.6% 15.4% 12.2% 10.1% 7.4% 4.3% 2.8% 1.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Jared Dunn 1.8% 1.9% 2.9% 2.5% 3.3% 6.5% 7.8% 12.3% 16.5% 22.1% 18.2% 4.2%
Austin Smyth 0.7% 1.4% 1.3% 2.1% 2.1% 2.8% 3.1% 6.4% 8.1% 16.4% 34.7% 20.9%
Ryan Morrison 7.9% 7.5% 9.4% 12.7% 11.0% 12.8% 12.3% 10.7% 10.7% 3.3% 1.5% 0.2%
David Mazotas 0.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.4% 0.7% 1.2% 1.5% 2.8% 3.5% 5.9% 16.3% 66.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.