Race 9B

barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

91.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Ian Storck 13.6% 13.6% 13.6% 14.2% 14.1% 10.3% 10.0% 5.3% 3.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Duncan Swain 21.5% 20.0% 17.4% 14.2% 10.2% 8.4% 4.6% 2.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Astwood 24.1% 20.0% 16.6% 13.5% 9.9% 9.1% 4.2% 1.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Coughlin 9.1% 13.5% 12.3% 13.7% 11.5% 12.1% 12.2% 8.2% 4.5% 2.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Jesse Thomas 5.9% 6.5% 7.6% 9.3% 10.5% 10.9% 13.9% 12.3% 11.9% 7.8% 2.8% 0.6%
Ryan Morrison 8.5% 8.1% 9.1% 10.6% 13.0% 13.1% 11.4% 12.6% 8.2% 4.3% 1.1% 0.0%
Robert Lippincott 7.9% 7.8% 10.1% 10.5% 10.3% 12.1% 11.7% 12.5% 9.1% 5.9% 2.1% 0.0%
Edward Moan 2.0% 2.5% 3.4% 3.6% 4.4% 5.2% 8.0% 10.6% 16.8% 21.1% 17.0% 5.4%
Philip Koch 3.5% 3.6% 5.4% 6.3% 9.5% 10.2% 11.1% 15.9% 16.8% 12.5% 4.7% 0.5%
Jared Dunn 2.3% 2.8% 3.0% 2.6% 4.1% 4.7% 8.0% 10.2% 16.2% 21.7% 18.9% 5.5%
Austin Smyth 1.3% 1.1% 1.0% 1.2% 1.5% 2.7% 3.4% 5.8% 8.8% 15.7% 34.5% 23.0%
David Mazotas 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 1.0% 1.2% 1.5% 2.1% 2.5% 7.1% 18.2% 64.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.