Race 14A

pacific-coast-open-fleet-race-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Chris Kayda 28.5% 21.1% 16.9% 11.8% 9.1% 5.0% 4.0% 1.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Owen Lahr 10.4% 12.0% 10.1% 13.4% 10.3% 10.5% 9.6% 8.8% 6.2% 5.1% 2.4% 0.9% 0.1%
Aidan Boylan 4.0% 4.5% 4.0% 4.0% 4.9% 6.0% 7.0% 8.2% 8.6% 10.0% 12.6% 20.6% 5.5%
Kai Ponting 5.5% 7.3% 7.4% 7.0% 8.8% 9.7% 9.7% 7.4% 9.3% 9.8% 8.5% 8.2% 1.5%
Patricia Gerli 4.2% 5.2% 5.6% 6.4% 6.8% 8.1% 8.8% 9.8% 9.9% 10.4% 12.4% 9.9% 2.5%
Nate Ingebritson 5.2% 5.5% 7.0% 7.1% 9.2% 8.5% 8.2% 9.6% 9.3% 9.3% 10.2% 8.9% 1.8%
Benjamin Luu 6.1% 6.6% 7.7% 7.2% 7.8% 8.2% 10.2% 10.5% 9.7% 9.7% 9.2% 5.9% 1.3%
Grant Janov 13.9% 15.3% 13.1% 12.8% 11.0% 9.1% 8.2% 6.6% 4.9% 2.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
Noah Barton 5.5% 5.0% 6.2% 7.6% 8.2% 8.6% 6.7% 10.0% 10.4% 10.5% 10.6% 9.2% 1.6%
Ryan Downey 8.0% 8.0% 9.4% 9.4% 9.7% 10.7% 10.6% 8.6% 9.2% 7.0% 6.1% 3.0% 0.5%
Dalton Lovett 4.3% 4.5% 6.0% 6.2% 7.1% 7.5% 8.4% 8.5% 9.8% 10.4% 11.2% 12.6% 3.3%
Blake Roberts 3.8% 4.5% 5.7% 6.0% 6.5% 7.5% 7.6% 8.7% 9.6% 11.9% 11.3% 13.8% 2.9%
Sriskandha Kandimalla 0.4% 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 0.8% 0.7% 0.9% 1.6% 2.0% 2.7% 3.5% 6.5% 78.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.