Race 10B

barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Duncan Swain 20.6% 19.9% 17.3% 14.2% 11.4% 8.3% 3.9% 2.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Jesse Thomas 5.2% 6.2% 8.8% 8.2% 11.2% 12.3% 11.3% 15.7% 12.2% 5.9% 2.9% 0.1%
Matthew Coughlin 11.9% 10.7% 11.9% 11.8% 13.9% 13.0% 10.8% 10.3% 3.1% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Ryan Astwood 21.6% 22.9% 17.6% 12.4% 10.8% 7.4% 4.1% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Morrison 8.2% 7.9% 10.2% 11.0% 12.3% 12.2% 13.9% 10.3% 7.1% 5.3% 1.5% 0.1%
Ian Storck 14.8% 12.2% 14.2% 15.3% 12.3% 11.2% 9.2% 6.0% 3.7% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Philip Koch 4.6% 5.0% 4.8% 7.1% 8.0% 8.9% 12.1% 12.8% 15.9% 12.4% 6.5% 1.9%
Robert Lippincott 8.6% 7.8% 9.4% 10.1% 9.9% 12.0% 13.4% 12.6% 8.9% 4.5% 2.6% 0.2%
Edward Moan 1.6% 2.1% 2.1% 3.4% 3.9% 6.9% 10.4% 9.9% 17.5% 22.0% 15.7% 4.5%
Jared Dunn 1.6% 3.4% 2.2% 4.0% 3.8% 4.7% 7.4% 10.6% 15.5% 23.3% 17.7% 5.8%
David Mazotas 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.8% 0.9% 2.3% 3.9% 6.1% 15.7% 67.6%
Austin Smyth 0.6% 1.4% 1.3% 1.5% 2.2% 2.3% 2.6% 4.8% 10.1% 16.6% 36.8% 19.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.