Race 12B

barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Ryan Astwood 21.6% 20.4% 17.3% 14.3% 12.0% 6.8% 3.6% 2.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Jesse Thomas 5.3% 6.3% 8.1% 9.2% 11.2% 11.8% 13.3% 12.5% 12.7% 6.6% 2.7% 0.3%
Duncan Swain 21.8% 20.0% 16.9% 13.8% 11.2% 7.8% 4.8% 2.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Edward Moan 1.2% 2.4% 2.8% 3.1% 4.1% 6.2% 8.4% 11.2% 15.4% 20.7% 19.9% 4.6%
Ian Storck 13.3% 14.6% 15.2% 13.5% 12.1% 11.1% 8.5% 6.8% 3.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Robert Lippincott 7.6% 7.2% 8.8% 10.3% 11.4% 12.7% 14.0% 12.1% 8.8% 5.1% 1.8% 0.2%
Matthew Coughlin 11.3% 13.1% 12.4% 12.3% 12.9% 12.5% 10.4% 7.1% 5.2% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Ryan Morrison 9.9% 8.6% 9.8% 10.5% 11.7% 12.8% 11.2% 10.7% 8.4% 4.7% 1.4% 0.3%
Jared Dunn 2.2% 1.4% 2.4% 3.2% 4.1% 6.1% 8.4% 10.8% 16.9% 23.0% 16.8% 4.7%
Philip Koch 4.5% 4.5% 4.6% 7.7% 7.1% 9.0% 11.6% 16.1% 15.4% 12.7% 5.8% 1.0%
Austin Smyth 1.0% 1.2% 1.1% 1.3% 1.3% 2.5% 4.4% 5.5% 8.9% 17.7% 32.2% 22.9%
David Mazotas 0.3% 0.3% 0.6% 0.8% 0.9% 0.7% 1.4% 2.2% 3.2% 5.2% 18.5% 65.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.