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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.84+1.40vs Predicted
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2Indiana University0.10+1.25vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-0.23+0.62vs Predicted
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4University of Chicago1.00-1.81vs Predicted
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6Indiana University0.10-2.75vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois-0.17-3.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.4Northwestern University0.840.3%1st Place
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3.25Indiana University0.100.1%1st Place
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3.62Northwestern University-0.230.1%1st Place
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2.19University of Chicago1.000.4%1st Place
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3.25Indiana University0.100.1%1st Place
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3.54University of Illinois-0.170.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Lubben | 30.2% | 28.9% | 19.8% | 13.2% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Magana | 12.5% | 17.5% | 24.2% | 23.9% | 21.9% | 0.0% |
| Emily Fontaine | 10.4% | 11.4% | 17.7% | 27.3% | 33.2% | 0.0% |
| Zi Chong Kao | 35.9% | 28.3% | 21.2% | 9.9% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Magana | 12.5% | 17.5% | 24.2% | 23.9% | 21.9% | 0.0% |
| Kevan Lee Lum | 11.0% | 13.9% | 17.1% | 25.7% | 32.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.